|

USD/CAD extends downside to near 1.3200 on stellar Canadian Retail Sales

  • USD/CAD has dropped sharply to near 1.3210 as Canadian Retail Sales have expanded to 1.1% vs. 0.2% as expected.
  • Oil prices are expected to show some action after the release of the oil inventory data for the week ending June 16.
  • The US Dollar Index is demonstrating signs of sheer contraction in volatility as investors are awaiting commentary from Jerome Powell.

The USD/CAD pair has witnessed selling pressure as Statistics Canada has reported surprisingly higher Retail Sales data (April). The economic data has expanded by 1.1% while the street was anticipating an expansion of 0.2%. Last month, Canadian Retail Sales contracted by 1.5%.

Upbeat Retail Sales data might force the Bank of Canada (BoC) to raise interest rates further as higher households' demand would eventually propel price pressures.

Analysts at CIBC affirm that some cracks appeared within the Canadian labor market in May, but these “may not yet be wide enough to convince the Bank of Canada that inflation is about to meaningfully cool off.”

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have extended their losses as the market mood is turning precautionary ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s testimony. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is demonstrating signs of sheer contraction in volatility as investors are expected to build fresh positions after assessing commentary from Jerome Powell.

Investors are keenly focusing on whether Jerome Powell will stick to its prior guidance of pushing interest rates further by 50 basis points (bps) this year or to remain data-dependent.

On the oil front, oil prices are expected to show some action after the release of the oil inventory data by the United States American Petroleum Institute (API) for the week ending June 16.

It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and higher oil prices will support the Canadian Dollar.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3223
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open1.3235
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3414
Daily SMA501.3459
Daily SMA1001.351
Daily SMA2001.352
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.327
Previous Daily Low1.3206
Previous Weekly High1.3384
Previous Weekly Low1.3178
Previous Monthly High1.3655
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3245
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.323
Daily Pivot Point S11.3204
Daily Pivot Point S21.3173
Daily Pivot Point S31.314
Daily Pivot Point R11.3268
Daily Pivot Point R21.3301
Daily Pivot Point R31.3332

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
US – Fed preview: A divided hold
The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.