• Canada: CPI rises to the highest level since 1983.
  • Powell says they would never take any size of rate hike off the table.
  • USD/CAD reverses near 1.3000, and now approaches 1.2900.

The USD/CAD lost momentum after approaching the 1.3000 level. During the American session, amid broad-based dollar’s weakness turned to the downside, erasing daily gains. Recently it reached 1.2915 and is it holding under 1.2950 with a negative intraday bias.

The next support for USD/CAD is located around 1.2900. A break lower could open the doors to more losses. The next support levels are seen at 1.2880 and 1.2860. On the upside, above 1.2960, the intraday bias would turn neutral/bullish.

Inflation everywhere

Data released on Wednesday showed the Consumer Price Index in Canada rose to an annual rate of 7.7%, above market expectations. “Annual inflation may still take some time to return to comfortable levels and this morning's report will not reduce the pressure on the central bank to withdraw its monetary accommodation to calm demand. With this morning's report being the last CPI release before the Bank of Canada's next rate decision, today's data should prompt the Bank to announce a 75 basis point increase in the policy rate in July” mentioned analysts at the National Bank of Canada.

Commenting on inflation reaching the highest level since 1983, Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers said that it was an "unwelcome number."

BOC's Rogers: May CPI data is an unwelcome number

Inflation figures did not boost the Canadian dollar. The decline of USD/CAD during the American session was triggered by a slide of the dollar amid an improvement in market sentiment, lower US yields and a recovery in commodity prices.

Fed’s Powell comments weighed on the dollar. He mentioned interest rate hikes could cause a recession and warned that is going to be very challenging to achieve a soft landing. The dollar lost ground during Powell’s testimony. He will deliver a new testimony on Thursday.

Technical levels


Today last price 1.2931
Today Daily Change 0.0006
Today Daily Change % 0.05
Today daily open 1.2925
Daily SMA20 1.2761
Daily SMA50 1.2781
Daily SMA100 1.2722
Daily SMA200 1.2674
Previous Daily High 1.2988
Previous Daily Low 1.2906
Previous Weekly High 1.3079
Previous Weekly Low 1.2774
Previous Monthly High 1.3077
Previous Monthly Low 1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2937
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2956
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2891
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2858
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.281
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2973
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3021
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3055



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