|

USD/CAD clings to gains above 1.2600 as rising US T-bond yields support USD

  • USD/CAD is rising for the second straight day on Wednesday.
  • US Dollar Index turns positive above 92.30 in the early American session.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up 1% ahead of FOMC Minutes.

The USD/CAD pair managed to post modest gains on Tuesday and preserved its bullish momentum to touch a fresh weekly high of 1.2618 on Wednesday. As of writing, the pair was up 0.33% on a daily basis at 1.2606.

Eyes on FOMC Minutes

Following Tuesday's sharp drop, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up 1% on Wednesday, helping the greenback stay resilient against its rivals. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is posting small daily gains at 92.35.

There won't be any significant macroeconomic data releases featured in the US economic docket and investors will keep a close eye on US President Joe Biden's speech on the spending plan and the FOMC Minutes.

Previewing the FOMC's publication, "one issue to watch for is potential discussion among FOMC participants on the topic of how they might change their policy rate views for lengthy holds if their relatively upbeat forecasts for growth, jobs and inflation were to come to fruition," noted Scotiabank analysts. "That's because Chair Powell said in the press conference that "part of that is wanting to see actual data and not just forecasting it."

On the other hand, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate is rising more than 1% on the day, limiting USD/CAD upside for the time being. Ivey Purchasing Managers Index and International Merchandise Trade data from Canada will be looked upon for fresh impetus as well.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2607
Today Daily Change0.0041
Today Daily Change %0.33
Today daily open1.2566
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.254
Daily SMA501.2635
Daily SMA1001.2724
Daily SMA2001.2997
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2583
Previous Daily Low1.2517
Previous Weekly High1.2647
Previous Weekly Low1.2528
Previous Monthly High1.274
Previous Monthly Low1.2365
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2558
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2542
Daily Pivot Point S11.2528
Daily Pivot Point S21.2489
Daily Pivot Point S31.2461
Daily Pivot Point R11.2594
Daily Pivot Point R21.2622
Daily Pivot Point R31.266

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).