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USD/CAD climbs as Fed signals 5% in 2024, amid Powell’s hawkish remarks

  • USD/CAD remains volatile, trading between 1.3400 and 1.3450, following the Fed’s decision to keep rates unchanged.
  • Fed’s upward revision of 2024 interest rates to 5.1% and commitment to tackle inflation keep traders on their toes.
  • Fed Chair Powell’s comments on high energy prices and consumer spending justified the need for higher rates.

The US Dollar (USD) erased its losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after the Federal Reserve decided to keep rates unchanged but revise interest rate expectations for 2024. Nevertheless, the USD/CAD remains trading with slim gains and trades volatile at around 1.3400/1.3480 during the last hour.

USD/CAD trades in a wide 1.3400/1.3480 range as markets digest Fed’s rate projections and Powell’s comments

As expected, the Fed kept rates at the current 5.25%-5.50% range, emphasizing that “Inflation remains elevated” while acknowledging that economic activity is expanding at a solid pace and the labor market remains strong. However, what moved the markets was that the Fed kept rates for 2023 at the same level as projected in June at 5.6% while revising 2024 from 4.6% to 5.1%, according to the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP).

In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the Fed’s commitment to bring inflation toward its 2% target and added that keeping rates unchanged doesn’t mean the Fed has or hasn’t reached the stance of policy they’re seeking while stressing the US central bank is ready to raise rates further if appropriate.

In regards to high energy prices, he said that higher energy prices are significant and can affect inflation. He added that growth has been propelled by consumer spending, which consequently came stronger than expected, which justifies the need for higher rates.

USD/CAD reaction to the Fed’s decision

The USD/CAD reacted upwards to the Fed’s monetary policy statement but halted its advance at around 1.3440. Nevertheless, as shown by the hourly chart, the major resumed its uptrend and turned positive in the day, with buyers eyeing the 1.3450 mark, ahead of testing 1.3500.

USD/CAD Price Action – Hourly chart

USD/CAD Key Technical Levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3466
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open1.3448
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3567
Daily SMA501.3423
Daily SMA1001.3401
Daily SMA2001.3464
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.349
Previous Daily Low1.3379
Previous Weekly High1.3639
Previous Weekly Low1.3493
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3422
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3448
Daily Pivot Point S11.3388
Daily Pivot Point S21.3328
Daily Pivot Point S31.3277
Daily Pivot Point R11.3499
Daily Pivot Point R21.355
Daily Pivot Point R31.361

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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