|

USD/CAD bulls struggle to break through 1.25 handle

The USD/CAD finally broke out of its Asian session consolidation phase and refreshed session tops in the past hour, albeit remained capped below the key 1.25 psychological mark.

A goodish US Dollar rebound, triggered by the Senate vote to approve a short-term spending bill to fund the government for another three weeks, helped the pair to regain some positive traction on Tuesday. 

However, a combination of factors kept a lid on any additional gains and reinforced the pair's post-BOC broader trading range between the 1.2500-1.2400 handle. 

A weaker tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields failed to provide an additional boost to the greenback's recovery move, while the prevalent positive trading sentiment around crude oil prices was seen underpinning the commodity-linked currency - Loonie. 

In absence of any major market moving economic releases, traders would now take cues from any fresh headlines coming out of the sixth round of talks on renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), due to take place in Montreal from January 23-29th.

Meanwhile, this week's key macro releases from the US and Canada, including the advance US GDP growth figures along with retail sales Friday’s CPI data from Canada, will also play an important role in determining the pair's next leg of directional move.

Technical levels to watch

A convincing break through the 1.25 handle is likely to accelerate the up-move towards 1.2545-50 supply zone before the eventually darting towards 100-day SMA barrier near the 1.2585 region.

On the flip side, sustained weakness below 1.2440-35 area could drag the pair back towards the 1.2400 handle, which if broken might turn it vulnerable to head back towards retesting the 1.2360-55 support area.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.