|

USD/CAD bulls move back in as Fed´s Powell balances-out the Fed meeting

  • USD/CAD is mixed during the Fed event on Wednesday.
  • USD/CAD is trapped in a box 1.3600 is key.
  • A break below 1.3580 tips the bias in favor of the bears. 

USD/CAD is down on the day by some 0.2% as the US Dollar plummets on the back of what has been perceived to be a dovish outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. A dovish hike is being priced into the markets following the Federal Reserve´s rate hike of 25 basis points and accompanying announcements within its statement. 

The US Dollar has dropped as the central bank removed the prior language that signaled more hikes were coming. Instead, the statements say the extent to which more firming is needed hinges on the economy. Subsequently, Fed futures are pricing in a pause in June and July and rate cuts in September.

Currently, Federal Reserve´s Chairman, Jerome Powell is being quizzed by the press that are scrutinizing the language in the statement. 

Feds statement, key takeaways 

  • Fed drops language that it anticipates more policy firming may be appropriate to attain a sufficiently restrictive stance.
  • Will continue reducing the balance sheet as planned.
  • Job gains have been robust and inflation remains elevated.
  • Tighter credit conditions are likely to weigh on the economy, hiring, and inflation.
  • Fed says the vote in favor of the policy was unanimous.
  • Fed repeats us banking system is sound and resilient.
  • In determining the extent to which additional policy firming may be appropriate, it will take into account tightening.

´The press are asking whether rate cuts are on the way and Fed´s Powell has dodged to comment anything in concrete. To the contrary, ´´it would not be appropriate for us to cut rates,´´ when he outlined the conditions of high inflation whereby the Fed would need to stay on its rate hiking course. ´´Rate cuts would be inappropriate given our belief that inflation will take some time to subside,´´ Fed Chairman said. Consequently, the US Dollar is finding some support:

DXY chart

USD/CAD technical analysis

The price is trapped in a box 1.3600 is key. If 1.3600 can hold, then the bulls will be in play still. A break below 1.3580 tips the bias in favor of the bears. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 amid ECB rate hold expectations

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1730 during the early European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Nonetheless, the potential downside for the major pair might be limited amid the growing acceptance that the European Central Bank is done cutting interest rates. 

When is the UK CPI inflation data and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics will publish the highly relevant Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Wednesday at 07:00 GMT. GBP/USD is likely to stay subdued if UK CPI meets expectations. However, any upside surprise could cap losses by tempering dovish sentiment ahead of the Bank of England’s policy decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Bulls await breakout through multi-day-old range amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range amid mixed fundamental cues. The global risk sentiment remains on the defensive amid economic woes and fears of the AI bubble burst. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal, though a modest US Dollar uptick might cap any further appreciating move.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.