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USD/CAD breaks below the 1.2700 figure after Canada and US employment data

  • The Canadian economy added double of the jobs foreseen by economists, while the unemployment rate fell below 6%.
  • The US Nonfarm Payrolls disappointed, but the Unemployment Rate dipped under 4%.
  • USD/CAD Technical Outlook: A break under 1.2700 opens the door for a fall towards 1.2642.

The USD/CAD is extending its fall to two consecutive days in the week, briefly pierced the 50-day moving average (DMA) around 1.2687, to then reclaim the 1.2700 figure after Canadian and US employment data struck the wires. At the time of writing, it is trading at 1.2686.

Canadian jobs report overshadowed US Nonfarm Payrolls

The Canadian economy docket featured the employment report for December 2021. Statistics Canada said that the country added 54,700 jobs to the economy, doubling analysts’ estimations for a 27,500 gain. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate fell from 6.0% t0 5.9%.

The dip in the jobless rate is the lowest seen since February 2020, before Covid-19 emerged. After December’s report, Canada’s labor market is up 240,500 jobs above the pre-pandemic level. However, it is worth noting that the poll was done between December 5 and December 11, pre-Omicron outbreak in the country. Analysts expect a weaker January 2022 report on the latter mentioned.

At the same time, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 199,000, worse than the 400,000 foreseen by economists. The positive of the employment report is that Unemployment Rate in the US dipped under the 4% threshold, at 3.9%, lower than the estimated 4.1%.

In the meantime, US Treasury yields fell some, after reaching a daily high of around 1.771%, retreated four basis points down to 1.741%. The US Dollar Index, briefly pierced under 96.00 at press time, sits at 96.03.

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CAD 1-hour chart depicts the pair as downward biased after breaching the 50, 100, and 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs), leaving them residing above the spot price. Additionally, the pierce of the 1.2700 threshold opened the door for a further dip towards the S1 daily pivot level at 1.2684. A break of that level would expose the January 4 daily low at 1.2667, followed by the S2 daily pivot at 1.2642.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2686
Today Daily Change-0.0046
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.2727
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2799
Daily SMA501.2683
Daily SMA1001.263
Daily SMA2001.2502
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2814
Previous Daily Low1.2707
Previous Weekly High1.2848
Previous Weekly Low1.262
Previous Monthly High1.2964
Previous Monthly Low1.2608
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2748
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2773
Daily Pivot Point S11.2685
Daily Pivot Point S21.2642
Daily Pivot Point S31.2578
Daily Pivot Point R11.2792
Daily Pivot Point R21.2856
Daily Pivot Point R31.2899

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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