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USD/BRL seen at 5.05 by year-end – Rabobank

Analysts at Rabobank see the Brazilian Real depreciating versus the US Dollar over the next months. The forecast USD/BRL at 5.05 by year-end. 

Key quotes: 

The gains of the BRL and other EM currencies start to dwindle as local central banks start their easing cycle while global interest rates are kept in restrictive mode. A market repricing of looming Fed cuts could erode carry-trade gains even further.

We see the USDBRL trading at 5.05 by end-2023 and 5.15 by end-2024.

IGP-DI accelerates and deflation period ends. IGP-DI general inflation advanced by 0.05% m/m in August, below our and the market's projections (market: 0.13%; Rabobank: 0.19%). Producer inflation back up after seven months. The producer inflation (IPA) component rose by 0.10% m/m (from -0.61% m/m in July). It is the first time IGP-DI posted a positive number in the year.

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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