|

US wants to allow limited Oil production in Venezuela again – Commerzbank

The US government is apparently considering allowing US Oil companies to resume limited operations in Venezuela. This was reported by five sources familiar with the matter, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

US Oil inventories are currently well below the five-year average

"As under former US President Biden, licenses are to be issued for this purpose. US President Trump had stopped this practice at the beginning of his second term. As a result, US imports of crude Oil and Oil products from Venezuela fell to 175,000 barrels per day in April, after standing at around 300,000 barrels per day at the turn of the year."

"Before sanctions were imposed on the Maduro regime during Trump's first term in 2019, US Oil imports from Venezuela amounted to more than 600,000 barrels per day. Trump's apparent U-turn could be due to the tight supply situation in the US. US crude Oil inventories are currently well below the five-year average."

"In addition, there is a shortage of heavy crude Oil with high sulfur content, which US refineries need as an additive to light, low-sulfur US shale Oil for processing. Oil from Venezuela meets this requirement. Oil exports from Venezuela are to be handled through swaps to prevent the export revenues from ending up in Venezuela's coffers. It remains to be seen whether Venezuela will agree to this."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).