|

US Treasury yields ignore world’s largest pension fund’s cut in US bonds weight

  • US 10-year Treasury yields stay sidelined around 1.24%.
  • Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) cut US government bonds and bills holdings by record in a year to March.
  • GPIF’s allocations for French, Italian, German and UK bonds all increased slightly.
  • Covid updates, deadlock over stimulus and Fed’s rejection to easy money confuse bond traders.

US 10-year Treasury yields lick Friday’s wounds around 1.2350%, down 0.5 basis points (bps) amid the initial Asian session trading on Monday.

The risk barometer remains pressured but fails to highlight Bloomberg’s news conveying a record cut in the US government bond and bill’s weight, from 47% to 32%, by Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), the world’s largest pension fund, during the 12 months ended in March.

The news piece also mentioned, “Treasury Department data show Japanese investors overall have sold a net $24 billion of U.S. government bonds since the start of the Asian nation’s current fiscal year on April 1.” Bloomberg added, “They offloaded $35 billion in the 12 months before that, the most in three years.”

It should be noted, however, that the GPIF has given a higher allocation, at least over 1.7% to the government securities from France, Italy, Germany and the UK, per Bloomberg.

Behind the Japanese government’s motives could be the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) indecision over the next move as well as a deadlock over the infrastructure spending in the Senate. Also likely to have challenged the Japanese bond buyers could be the gradually rising covid woes in the UK and the US and better performance of equities.

It’s worth mentioning that the same seems to exert downside pressure on the US Dollar Index (DXY), currently unchanged around 92.08 after snapping a four-day downtrend, also reversing from a monthly low, on the previous day.

While the bond news may weigh on the DXY, US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July, expected 60.8 versus 60.6 prior, becomes the key event of the day as China’s official activity numbers have already eased during the weekend and Caixin figures may follow the suit.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 as USD demand surges

GBP/USD extends its intraday slide and closes in on 1.3300 in the American session on Thursday. The pair remains under heavy bearish pressure as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

EUR/USD drops toward 1.1350 post ECB decision

EUR/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure in the second half of the day on Thursday and trades at its lowest level in three weeks below 1.1370. The ECB's cautious tone on policy tightening in the near future and the broad-based US Dollar (USD) strength on risk-aversion drag the pair lower.

Gold trims gains, dips to $4,050

Gold keeps retreating on Thursday, trading well below $4,100 early in the American session. US crude oil prices climb to a fresh six-week high above $90 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Fed interest rate hike expectations. Hawkish Fed bets weigh negatively on the yieldless bullion.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP trades sideways as Ripple targets 10 million agentic AI transactions
Ripple (XRP) is losing momentum on Thursday, albeit gradually, trading above $1.13. The remittance token tagged a weekly high of $1.16 on Tuesday, with gains mainly attributed to developments on the United States (US) Clarity Act and recent signs that inflation is easing in the world’s largest economy.
Bitcoin falls as surging Oil prices revive inflation concerns

Bitcoin extends its correction, trading below $65,800 after a modest decline in the previous day. Despite BTC’s fading strength, US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds continued to attract institutional inflows on Wednesday, marking the seventh consecutive day of gains.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.