|

US inflation expectations refresh five-week low

US inflation expectations can be held responsible for the market’s latest dislike for the US Dollar, after fueling the Greenback to the multi-day high in the last week.

That said, the inflation expectations, as per the 10-year and 5-year breakeven inflation rates from the St. Louis Federal Reserve (FRED) data, reverse Friday’s corrective bounce while declining to the fresh lows in five weeks.

It should be noted that the 5-year and 10-year inflation expectations per the aforementioned calculations fall to 2.21% and 2.30% at the latest.

It’s worth observing that the Fed officials’ inability to please markets with a major hawkish surprise can join the latest weakness in the US inflation clues to weigh on the US Treasury bond yields and the Greenback.

However, the cautious mood ahead of today’s US Conference Board’s (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for August, expected at 116.2 versus prior 117.00, will prod the Greenback and the markets. Above all, major attention will be given to the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, namely the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for July and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for August.

Also read: Forex Today: US Dollar weakens slightly as risk sentiment improves

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces off multi-month low, nears 0.6900

AUD/USD edges higher toward 0.6900 in the Asian session on Wednesday, recovering some of the previous day’s losses to its lowest level since March as the US Dollar stalls the hot US CPI-inspired rally amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from FOMC members have almost confirmed another December rate hike, which favors USD bulls and should cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains capped below 159.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to build on the previous day’s strong gains to a near one-month top as intervention risk supports the Japanese Yen while hopes of a US-Iran peace deal cap the safe-haven US Dollar. That keeps the pair's upside limited below 159.00, for now.

Gold puts the $4,000 mark to the test

Gold now accelerates its daily correction, challenging the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s continuation of the downward trend comes against the backdrop of a robust performance of the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields across the board and rising bets of extra rate hikes by the Fed.

Bitcoin Bull Score falls to 20 as USDT supply shrinks – CryptoQuant
Bitcoin's (BTC) market indicators have turned bearish at the same time, raising concerns that the top crypto could face a deeper correction despite historical similarities to previous market bottoms. In a report published Wednesday, CryptoQuant noted that its Bull Score Index dropped from 90 on October 13 to 20 in less than four weeks, reflecting a sharp deterioration in market conditions.
The Japanese Yen is doing something it hasn't done in ten weeks

USD/JPY climbs above the 159.00 resistance level, extending its advance on Wednesday, and bringing the Japanese Yen back toward its weakest levels in ten weeks amid renewed strength in the US Dollar. The move reflects a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve interest rate expectations following hawkish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller and stronger-than-expected US consumer inflation data.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.