|

US indexes recover modestly, quiet ahead of Fed

  • Wall Street bounced after Monday's slump, still in the red for the week.
  • US Federal Reserve expected to raise rates, but uncertainty surrounds the dot-plot.

Following a strong start to the day, US indexes entered in consolidation mode mid-US session, to end anyway with gains, but off their daily highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to add 116 points, to end the day at 24,727.27, partially reversing Monday's slump. Gains in the Nasdaq and the S&P were modest, with the indexes advancing 0.275 and 0.15% respectively, with the positive tone backed by the energy-related sector, as oil prices surged to their highest this month.

The later consolidative mode is probably due to the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting, as the central bank is expected to announce its latest decision on monetary policy this Wednesday. A rate hike has been priced in ever since Fed's head Powell pledged for 4 rate hikes this year in his testimony before the Parliament, although it's yet to be seen whether this is the first of three or the first of four for this 2018. The dot-plot will be scrutinized, and any sign that the Fed is still thinking of three hikes for this year, will probably benefit local shares, but at the same time hit the greenback.

In the meantime, the Facebook scandal continued in the eye of the storm, with shares for the company falling for a second consecutive day, an accumulating an over 10% decline ever since the week started.

Technical outlook

Technically, the daily chart for the Dow shows that the downward pressure eased just partially, as the Momentum indicator aims to bounce from its 100 level but remains pretty much neutral, while the RSI hovers around 45, but the index remains well below its 20 and 100 DMAs, with the shortest aiming to extend below the largest, both around 24,960. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the index presents a neutral-to-bearish stance, as intraday advances were contained by a modestly bearish 20 SMA, while technical indicators hold directionless within negative territory.

Support levels: 24,670 24,612 24,561

Resistance levels: 24,805 24,860 24,913

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.