|

US Dollar rebounds from 88.50, NFP on sight

  • DXY found decent support in the mid-88.00s.
  • US 10-year yields closer to 2.80%.
  • US non-farm payrolls coming in next.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback vs. its main competitors, is managing to stage a rebound to the 88.70/75 band after probing fresh weekly lows in the mid-88.00s during early trade.

US Dollar now focused on payrolls

In spite of the current rebound, the index remains entrenched well into the bearish territory and trading close to last week’s multi-year lows in the 88.40 region.

Higher yields in the US money markets and prospects of further tightening via (three) rate hikes this year appear not even close to spark a more durable upside reaction in the buck, which stays at the mercy of, mainly, the uncertainty and effervescence of the US political scenario.

It is worth mentioning that DXY lost already around 7% since December’s peaks above the 95.00 handle, while the loss climbs to nearly 15% when we take into account 14-year tops in the 103.80 area recorded over a year ago (January 2017).

Ahead in the session, the monthly US labour market report is due, with initial estimates seeing non-farm payrolls coming in at 180K for the month of January.

US Dollar relevant levels

As of writing the index is up 0.04% at 88.69 facing the next up barrier at 90.70 (high Jan.22) followed by 90.98 (high Jan.18) and then 92.64 (high Jan.9). On the flip side, a break below 88.55 (low Feb.2) would open the door to 88.42 (2018 low Jan.25) and finally 86.60 (weekly trend line off 72.70).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).