|

US Dollar Index tumbles to lows near 96.50

  • The index is losing further ground and tests the mid-96.00s.
  • Yields of the US 10-year note bounce of recent lows near 2.94%.
  • Focus remains on US-China trade truce and broad risk trends.

The selling bias around the greenback remains unchanged so far this week and is now forcing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to drop to fresh lows in the mid-96.00s.

US Dollar Index weaker on risk-on trade

The index keeps suffering the improved tone in the risk-associated universe following the recently clinched truce between China and the US, prompting a sharp sell-off in the buck to the 96.50 region, or multi-day lows.

In addition, the decline in yields of the key US 10-year reference has reached the 2.94% region, levels last visited in mid-September, accompanying the leg lower in the Dollar.

In the US docket today, NY Fed J.Williams (permanent voter, centrist) is due to speak along with the publication of the IBD/TIPP index and the weekly report on US crude oil supplies by the API.

US Dollar Index relevant levels

As of writing the index is losing 0.54% at 96.44 and a break below 96.32 (low Nov.22) would open the door to 96.04 (low Nov.20) and finally 95.68 (low Nov.7). On the flip side, the next hurdle emerges at 97.53 (high Nov.28) seconded by 97.69 (2018 high Nov.12) and then 97.87 (61.8% Fibo retracement of the 2017-2018 drop).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).