|

US Dollar Index treads water above 98.00 ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

  • The US Dollar Index moves little as traders adopt caution ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.
  • The US Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to rise by about 75,000 in August, while the Unemployment Rate is projected at 4.3%.
  • The CME FedWatch Tool shows markets pricing in over a 99% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in September.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is trading around 98.10 during the early European hours on Friday after recovering recent gains from the previous session.

Traders are awaiting further labor market data on Friday that could shape the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy decision in September. Economists project US Nonfarm Payrolls to add about 75,000 jobs in August, while the Unemployment Rate is seen at 4.3%. Any softer data would boost the odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.

The Greenback faces challenges amid rising odds of a US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in September, driven by softer-than-expected United States (US) job data. Markets are pricing in more than 99% of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the Fed at the September policy meeting, up from 87% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool

The US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 237K for the week ending August 30, against the previous reading of 229K. This figure came in above the market consensus of 230K. Meanwhile, ADP Employment Change showed that employment rose by 54,000 in August, which came in below the expectation of 65K. This reading followed a 106K (revised from 104K) increase recorded in July.

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said early Friday that the US labor market might be deteriorating, adding that there is a bit of wait-and-see because of uncertainty. On Thursday, New York Fed President John Williams warned that although he expects Fed interest rates to continue declining at a slow pace, the US central bank has to carefully balance supporting the jobs market with interest rate cuts.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.19%-0.25%-0.12%-0.11%-0.35%-0.40%-0.18%
EUR0.19%-0.04%0.00%0.08%-0.08%-0.19%0.00%
GBP0.25%0.04%0.06%0.12%-0.02%-0.16%0.09%
JPY0.12%0.00%-0.06%0.06%-0.18%-0.27%0.09%
CAD0.11%-0.08%-0.12%-0.06%-0.19%-0.30%-0.05%
AUD0.35%0.08%0.02%0.18%0.19%-0.14%0.12%
NZD0.40%0.19%0.16%0.27%0.30%0.14%0.25%
CHF0.18%-0.01%-0.09%-0.09%0.05%-0.12%-0.25%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 as 2025 draws to a close

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 in the European session on Wednesday, the final day of 2025. The pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 amid renewed USD demand

GBP/USD remains under pressure near 1.3450 in European trading on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold recovers losses above $4,300 amid the year-end grind

Gold price reverses a dip below $4,300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, recovering intraday losses. The precious metal draws support from the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Gold has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).