|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests immediate support at 103.50 near four-month lows

  • The US Dollar Index may test its primary support at the four-month low of 103.34.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 30, indicating oversold conditions and the potential for an upward correction.
  • On the upside, initial resistance is seen at the nine-day EMA at 104.34.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against its six major peers, remains steady after registering gains in the previous session, trading around 103.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday. However, the technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a persistent bearish bias, with the index moving downwards within a descending channel pattern.

The US Dollar Index is trading below the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating a weakening short- and medium-term trend. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 30, suggesting oversold conditions and the potential for an upward correction.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index may test its primary support at the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6, followed by the lower boundary of the descending channel at 103.00. A break below this critical support zone could strengthen the bearish outlook, pushing the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY may encounter initial resistance at the nine-day EMA at 104.34. A break above this level could strengthen short-term price momentum, pushing the index toward the 50-day EMA at 106.44, followed by the upper boundary of the descending channel at 106.70.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.07%0.07%-0.34%0.17%0.29%0.12%-0.07%
EUR-0.07% 0.00%-0.40%0.09%0.23%0.08%-0.14%
GBP-0.07%-0.01% -0.40%0.09%0.22%0.07%-0.11%
JPY0.34%0.40%0.40% 0.47%0.63%0.46%0.30%
CAD-0.17%-0.09%-0.09%-0.47% 0.15%-0.02%-0.21%
AUD-0.29%-0.23%-0.22%-0.63%-0.15% -0.15%-0.31%
NZD-0.12%-0.08%-0.07%-0.46%0.02%0.15% -0.15%
CHF0.07%0.14%0.11%-0.30%0.21%0.31%0.15% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks higher to near 1.1800 ahead of flash German inflation data

The EUR/USD pair trades marginally higher to near 1.1810 in the late Asian trading session on Friday, ahead of the release of preliminary inflation data for February from Germany and its major states during the day.

GBP/USD struggles to lure buyers amid UK political drama, BoE easing bias

The GBP/USD pair struggles to build on the overnight modest bounce from the 1.3445 area, or the weekly low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade just below the 1.3500 psychological mark, nearly unchanged for the day, and seem vulnerable to slide further.

Gold awaits acceptance above $5,200 and US PPI data

Gold consolidates previous rebound near $5,200 amid risk-off markets, awaiting US PPI release. The US Dollar eyes a flattish weekly close as dovish Fed outlook and tariff woes outweigh geopolitical risks. Gold yearns for acceptance above $5,200 to resume the uptrend, with a bullish RSI in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.