|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests immediate support at 103.50 near four-month lows

  • The US Dollar Index may test its primary support at the four-month low of 103.34.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 30, indicating oversold conditions and the potential for an upward correction.
  • On the upside, initial resistance is seen at the nine-day EMA at 104.34.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against its six major peers, remains steady after registering gains in the previous session, trading around 103.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday. However, the technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a persistent bearish bias, with the index moving downwards within a descending channel pattern.

The US Dollar Index is trading below the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating a weakening short- and medium-term trend. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 30, suggesting oversold conditions and the potential for an upward correction.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index may test its primary support at the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6, followed by the lower boundary of the descending channel at 103.00. A break below this critical support zone could strengthen the bearish outlook, pushing the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY may encounter initial resistance at the nine-day EMA at 104.34. A break above this level could strengthen short-term price momentum, pushing the index toward the 50-day EMA at 106.44, followed by the upper boundary of the descending channel at 106.70.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.07%0.07%-0.34%0.17%0.29%0.12%-0.07%
EUR-0.07% 0.00%-0.40%0.09%0.23%0.08%-0.14%
GBP-0.07%-0.01% -0.40%0.09%0.22%0.07%-0.11%
JPY0.34%0.40%0.40% 0.47%0.63%0.46%0.30%
CAD-0.17%-0.09%-0.09%-0.47% 0.15%-0.02%-0.21%
AUD-0.29%-0.23%-0.22%-0.63%-0.15% -0.15%-0.31%
NZD-0.12%-0.08%-0.07%-0.46%0.02%0.15% -0.15%
CHF0.07%0.14%0.11%-0.30%0.21%0.31%0.15% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.1600

EUR/USD is now facing increasing selling pressure, abandoning the area of recent daily highs and refocusing on the 1.1600 region amid decent losses for the day. The pair’s correction comes in response to the acceptable bounce in the US Dollar, while traders gear up for upcoming key data releases in the US.

GBP/USD recedes to 1.3140 on USD rebound

GBP/USD remains on the back foot on Friday, retreating to the 1.3140 region on the back of the marked upside impulse in the Greenback. In the meantime, worries about the UK’s fiscal discipline and political stability keep the British Pound under scrutiny, weighing on Cable. Adding to the noise, reports suggested PM Starmer and Chancellor Reeves have shelved plans to raise income tax rates.

Gold meets some contention just above $4,000

Gold trade with heavy losses, approaching the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on the back of the marked bounce in the US Dollar, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and fading expectations for a Fed rate cut in December.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP sell-off persists amid low institutional and retail demand

Bitcoin is trading above $97,000 at the time of writing on Friday amid a sticky bearish wave in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off extends to altcoins, with Ethereum and Ripple hovering below $3,200 and $2.30, respectively.

Weekly focus: Looking towards post-shutdown US data

The end of US government shutdown was not enough to drive a lasting recovery in markets' risk appetite, with equity and bond markets weakening towards the end of the week.

VeChain mainnet upgrade shifts consensus mechanism from PoA to DPoS as VET extends decline 

VeChain holds above $0.0150 as overhead pressure signals a 15% downside risk. VeChain migrates from Proof of Authority to Delegated Proof of Stake to power the network’s next growth phase.