|

US Dollar Index Price Analysis: Corrective drop could extend to 101.00

  • DXY retreats from Thursday’s 19-year highs near 104.00.
  • A deeper correction could extend to the 101.00 region.

Following nearly 2-decade highs around 104.00, DXY is finally facing some corrective downside at the end of the week.

There is still scope for further downside, as the index keeps navigating the overbought territory, as per the daily RSI around 75. That said, the retracement carries the potential to extend to the 101.00 area prior to the weekly low in the 99.80 zone (April 21).

The current bullish stance in the index remains supported by the 7-month line near 96.70, while the longer-term outlook for the dollar is seen constructive while above the 200-day SMA at 95.70.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price103.3
Today Daily Change86
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open103.67
 
Trends
Daily SMA20100.59
Daily SMA5099.03
Daily SMA10097.5
Daily SMA20095.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High103.94
Previous Daily Low102.94
Previous Weekly High101.34
Previous Weekly Low99.81
Previous Monthly High99.41
Previous Monthly Low96.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%103.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%103.32
Daily Pivot Point S1103.09
Daily Pivot Point S2102.52
Daily Pivot Point S3102.1
Daily Pivot Point R1104.09
Daily Pivot Point R2104.52
Daily Pivot Point R3105.09

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.