|

US Dollar Index finishes the week above 96.00 as an ascending-triangle targets 98.00

  • The US Dollar Index ended the week above the 96.00 threshold.
  • The US 10-year Treasury yield finished flat, at 1.482%.
  • DXY Technical outlook: An upside break above an ascending triangle target 98.00.

The US Dollar Index, also known as DXY, which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of six rivals, slides 0.19%, sitting at 96.04 during the day as the New York session wanes, at the time of writing. The market sentiment was upbeat as the Wall Street session closed, with major US equities finishing in the green recorded gains between 0.60% and 1.13%.

In the US bond market, Treasury yields in the short-maturity of the curve fell with 2s, 5s, and 10s dropped between 1-3 basis points, ended at 0.6544%, 1.2467%, and 1.482%, each. In the long-term of the curve 20s and 30s, gained between 1-1.5 basis points, sat at 1.9138% and 1.88%, respectively.

Apart from that, the US dollar was left at the mercy of the US inflation figures. On Friday, the Department of Labor reported that the Consumer Price Index for November on an annual basis rose to 6.8%, in line with estimations, and higher than October’s reading at 6.2%. Further, the Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose to 4.9%, as foreseen though more elevated than October’s 4.6%

Later on the day, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for December rose to 70.4 from 67.1 in November. 

US Dollar Index (DXY) Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The US Dollar Index finished the week above the 96.00 figure for the second week in a row. The DXY is in a clear uptrend, and through the last couple of weeks, price action consolidated around the 95.50-96.50 range, forming an ascending triangle in an uptrend.

In the event of breaking to the upside of the formation, the ascending triangle target would be 98.00, but it would find some hurdles on the way up.

The first resistance would be 97.00, followed by June 30 high at 97.80, followed by the ascending triangle target at 98.00.

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price96.04
Today Daily Change-0.18
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open96.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA2096.08
Daily SMA5094.86
Daily SMA10093.85
Daily SMA20092.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High96.34
Previous Daily Low95.95
Previous Weekly High96.64
Previous Weekly Low95.55
Previous Monthly High96.94
Previous Monthly Low93.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%96.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%96.1
Daily Pivot Point S196
Daily Pivot Point S295.78
Daily Pivot Point S395.61
Daily Pivot Point R196.39
Daily Pivot Point R296.56
Daily Pivot Point R396.78

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.