|

US Dollar advances further, 96.50 on sight

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback vs. its main rivals, is extending its rally to the area of 96.30/40, or fresh multi-day tops.

US Dollar challenging September tops

The index is advancing further north of the 96.00 barrier on Tuesday, approaching the critical resistance area around 96.30/50, where are located August/September peaks and a retracement of the July-August drop.

USD has picked up extra pace as expectations of a rate hike by the Fed are on the rise, with CME Group’s FedWatch tool currently pointing to just above 55% probability of higher rates at the December meeting.

Data wise in the US calendar, IBD/TIPP’s Economic Optimism has surpassed estimates at 49.6 for the current month vs. 47.5 forecasted and up from September’s 46.7. Later in the NA session, the weekly report on US crude stockpiles by the API is due.

USD continues to derive support as the sentiment around the risk-associated space continues to deteriorate in response to heightened concerns over Brexit consequences for the UK economy, JPY-selling and potential risks in the EU banking system, with the Deutsche Bank and Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena in the centre of the debate.

US Dollar relevant levels

The index is gaining 0.66% at 96.33 and a break above 96.50 (high Aug.5) would open the door for 97.62 (high Jul.25) and then 98.59 (high Mar.3). On the flip side, the immediate support lines up at 94.97 (support line off 2016 low) ahead of 94.44 (low Sep.8) and finally 94.05 (low Aug.18).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).