|

US Dollar advances further, 96.50 on sight

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback vs. its main rivals, is extending its rally to the area of 96.30/40, or fresh multi-day tops.

US Dollar challenging September tops

The index is advancing further north of the 96.00 barrier on Tuesday, approaching the critical resistance area around 96.30/50, where are located August/September peaks and a retracement of the July-August drop.

USD has picked up extra pace as expectations of a rate hike by the Fed are on the rise, with CME Group’s FedWatch tool currently pointing to just above 55% probability of higher rates at the December meeting.

Data wise in the US calendar, IBD/TIPP’s Economic Optimism has surpassed estimates at 49.6 for the current month vs. 47.5 forecasted and up from September’s 46.7. Later in the NA session, the weekly report on US crude stockpiles by the API is due.

USD continues to derive support as the sentiment around the risk-associated space continues to deteriorate in response to heightened concerns over Brexit consequences for the UK economy, JPY-selling and potential risks in the EU banking system, with the Deutsche Bank and Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena in the centre of the debate.

US Dollar relevant levels

The index is gaining 0.66% at 96.33 and a break above 96.50 (high Aug.5) would open the door for 97.62 (high Jul.25) and then 98.59 (high Mar.3). On the flip side, the immediate support lines up at 94.97 (support line off 2016 low) ahead of 94.44 (low Sep.8) and finally 94.05 (low Aug.18).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.