|

UK: House of Lords holds a final debate on Article 50 - SocGen

Kit Juckes, Research Analyst at Societe Generale, explains that the UK’s House of Lords holds a final debate, and vote, on the Article 50 Bill this morning.

Key Quotes

“On least chance to decide whether to throw a temporary spanner into the works. The focus will then move on to the Budget tomorrow and the triggering or Article 50. I can see no good news there for sterling, even as I concede that 1) the pound’s already weak and lot of bad news is in the price and 2) the debate is about what the long-term impact will be of triggering article 50, not whether it happens or not. Still, if the 10year real yield gap between the US and UK widens beyond 240bp or so, which seems likely when/if US 10s get through 2.50, a re-test of GBP/USD 1.20 looks very likely.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD tumbles to three-day lows around 1.3420

GBP/USD comes under extra selling pressure and revisits the area of multi-day lows near 1.3420 in quite a bearish start to the week. Cable’s decline comes amid the firmer Greenback as investors continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict. Moving forward, attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.


EUR/USD declines to near 1.1400 as US launches fresh strikes on Iran

The EUR/USD pair posts modest losses around 1.1410 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Renewed tensions between the United States (US) and Iran continue to fuel risk-off sentiment, weighing on the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar (USD). The ZEW surveys from Germany and the Eurozone are due later on Tuesday.  Also, the US ADP employment report will be released. 

Gold rises cautiously as Fed hike bets, US‑Iran tensions cap gains

Gold regains positive traction following the previous day's two-way price moves, though it struggles to capitalize on the move and trades below the $4,050 level during the Asian session on Tuesday. Despite a cycle of tit-for-tat strikes between the US and Iran, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Sunday that the US was still open to holding talks with Iran, keeping hopes alive for a potential diplomatic resolution to the conflict.

Grayscale eyes Worldcoin ETF launch following S-1 filing

Grayscale filed an S-1 registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday to launch a Grayscale Worldcoin ETF. The proposed fund, which would trade on Nasdaq under the ticker GWLD, is designed to give investors exposure to Worldcoin through a traditional brokerage account, eliminating the need to buy the token directly.

Here's where the Canadian Dollar is headed next: 4 bearish scenarios and a bullish one
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has ridden a volatile first half of the year, with Oil prices surging and then falling as markets danced to the Middle East’s tune. Neither the Bank of Canada nor the Federal Reserve has changed rates so far this year, and the USD/CAD's next move may depend on which of the two banks fails to deliver what markets expect.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.