|premium|

The Home Depot Stock Price and Forecast: Home Depot (HD) earnings beats on top and bottom lines

  • Home Depot releases earnings before the open on Tuesday.
  • HD and Walmart both release earnings today.
  • Home Depot is a clear sign of consumer sentiment in the US.

Update: Home Depot announced earnings before the open with a strong beat on the top and bottom lines. Earnings per shares came in at $3.92 versus the $3.40 forecast, and revenue was $36.8 billion versus the forecast of $34.96 billion. The shares initially spiked up over 1% on the release but have since retraced. The latest Home Depot (HD) stock quote is $371.62, a small gain of 0.15%. 

The Home Depot (HD) earnings will be out before the open on Tuesday along with those of Walmart (WMT). They will be closely watched for signs of how healthy US consumer spending is. The stock market looked a bit cagey on Monday as higher yields hit tech stocks, and now at the tail end of the earnings season we get some key last minute barometers of the economy. 

Home Depot (HD) stock news

We do not have an exact time for the earnings release, but it is due before the market opens. The post-earnings conference call is scheduled for 9am EST/2pm GMT so that should give a fairly close indication of when earnings will drop. The link for the conference call can be found here.  Q3 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) is expected to come in at $3.40, while revenue is expected to reach $34.96 billion, an increase of 4.3% from the same period last year. Reuters notes that HD has matched or beaten estimates for every quarter back to 2016 with the exception of the pandemic's  Q1 2020. 

The usual focus will be on supply chain issues and input costs and whether these can be passed on to consumers. Supply chain issues have seen Walmart, Home Depot and others charter their own ships to deal with supply chain slowdowns caused by the pandemic. While container prices have dropped recently, they are still well above 2020 levels and are a significant cost for retailers.

HD stock's dividend yield is currently about 1.8%, and investors will look for any change in this. Given the slowing sales figures, we do not anticipate a change.

Piper Sandler has put through a modest price target increase for HD stock ahead of the earnings report, bumping its target up from $320 to $325. 

Home Depot (HD) stock forecast

In our view, this one is set up for a disappointment. Home Depot stock has rallied sharply into the number, and usually it is a case of "buy the rumour, sell the fact" when that happens. The stock sits at record highs. Below $365 there is a volume vacuum, so a break here could see a sharp move to $330. Strong support then from $330 to $320 with a high volume profile and the 200-day moving average just at $320. 

HD 1-day chart
 

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays bid above 0.7100 on Australian trade data, Mideast optimism

AUD/USD clings to minor recovery gains above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, strong AustralianTrade Balane data also help the Aussie pair sustain the bounce from weekly lows.

USD/JPY hovers near the 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high in the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions keep the downside limited in the Greenback and the pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA; upside seems capped on Iran uncertainty

Gold recovers from a one-week low near $4,425, or the 200-day SMA, in the Asian session on Thursday, as news of an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire acts as a headwind for the safe-haven US Dollar. However, renewed hostilities in the Gulf, along with stalled US-Iran peace talks, keep geopolitical risks in play and should support the USD, checking the Gold price rebound.


Ethereum: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders. The Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of previously idle tokens or long-term holders' coins, spiked over the past two days as prices declined, indicating increased selling activity among this cohort.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.