|premium|

Tesla Stock Price and Forecast: Is Elon Musk still selling TSLA?

  • Tesla suffers after a swift turnaround in market sentiment.
  • Likely caused by a delay to President Biden's Build Back Better plan.
  • EV stocks would benefit from the green stimulus in the plan.

Our Tesla (TSLA) call remains on target, and Thursday's move merely heightened recent volatility. Wednesday saw the Fed relief rally, but this was swiftly dented on Thursday. A combination of Omicron fears and lack of potential stimulus saw equity investors rush for the sidelines. The UK recorded its highest ever covid infection rate as Omicron runs rampant in the country. So far hospitalizations have not matched earlier peaks, but data from South Africa is beginning to turn more worrying. Hospitalizations are surging after a lag. Omicron may be milder, but its huge transmisability means hospitalization rates are still eventually rising sharply. 

Tesla (TSLA) stock news

Added to this was news that President Biden and Senator Manchin are miles away from agreement on President Biden's green stimuls plan, "Build Bank Better". This stimulus is badly needed to maintain strong economic growth and consumer spending. The plan will also benefit EV makers and other green stocks. TSLA understandably then fell sharply on Thursday. The stock ended down over 5% as the twin effects above were added to by more selling from CEO Elon Musk. Filings show Musk selling another $884 million worth of stock on Thursday. 

Tesla (TSLA) chart, 15-minute

By our rough estimates, we had calculated that Elon Musk had sold over $12 billion now, but we bow to Refinitive's superior power. They have the Tesla CEO down for nearly $14 billion worth of sales since November 8. Elon Musk has sold 17.2 million shares in Tesla. He had tweeted about selling 10% of his holding. 10% of both his trust and stock options equates to 24.4 million shares. So there may yet be further sales to come. 

Tesla (TSLA) stock forecast

Not too far now to hit our $910 target. Tesla has been volatile through this downtrend with some sharp pullbacks, but the recent trend since December has been capped by the 9-day moving average. Reaching $910 fills the Hertz gap and puts another gap at $843 in sight. That will see Tesla target the 100-day moving average, so we would like to see that hold. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remain stuck in a downtrend but not as yet showing signs of being oversold.

TSLA 1-day chart


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1750 as USD benefits from risk-aversion

EUR/USD comes under renewed bearish pressure in the European session and trades below 1.1750 following a recovery attempt earlier in the day. The US Dollar gathers strength and weighs on the pair as investors seek refuge in the wake of Israel and the United States' joint attack on Iran.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold surges on safe-haven demand, rises above $5,400

Gold benefits from intense risk-aversion on Monday and climbs above $5,400, setting a fresh monthly-high in the process. Tensions in the Middle East remain high as Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange strikes following the US-Israel joint attack on Iran over the weekend.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple under pressure as key supports face breakdown risk

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices trade on the back foot at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. BTC is on the brink of a breakdown, ETH is capped below key resistance, and XRP risks a crack of the trendline.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network  hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.