Research Team at Danske Bank, suggests that we are seeing the strongest recovery of the global economy since 2013 and this time, the recovery is shared across different regions for the first time in a long time, as both developed and key emerging markets are getting on a stronger footing.
Key Quotes
“Another feature is that the recovery is being driven not only by private consumption but is also likely to be lifted by higher global investment activity, rebounding from the very weak levels observed over the past few years.”
“As a result, we have revised our global growth outlook slightly higher in 2017. Due to a small lift in the US and euro area forecasts, we now forecast global growth at 3.5%, up from 3.4%. While Trump’s fiscal easing will have a growth impact, we do not (against consensus) think the economy will benefit until late 2017 at the earliest and mostly in 2018. In China, real GDP growth is likely to slow somewhat in 2017 after staging a fairly strong recovery in 2016. Stimulus measures are fading and we think that concerns about the debt levels will become more prominent, adding to pressures on the renminbi. Then we have some of the most battered emerging markets, which are starting to show sign of life again, such as Russia and Brazil, after frosty years of deep recessions.”
“The key risks next year are political, in our view. This is certainly the case in Europe, where the outcome of elections in major countries (starting with the referendum in Italy on Sunday and the presidential election rerun in Austria) is fairly uncertain. We still need to see the exact policy framework the new Trump administration will come up with.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD flirts with 1.0700 post-US PMIs
EUR/USD maintains its daily gains and climbs to fresh highs near the 1.0700 mark against the backdrop of the resumption of the selling pressure in the Greenback, in the wake of weaker-than-expected flash US PMIs for the month of April.
GBP/USD surpasses 1.2400 on further Dollar selling
Persistent bearish tone in the US Dollar lends support to the broad risk complex and bolsters the recovery in GBP/USD, which manages well to rise to fresh highs north of 1.2400 the figure post-US PMIs.
Gold trims losses on disappointing US PMIs
Gold (XAU/USD) reclaims part of the ground lost and pares initial losses on the back of further weakness in the Greenback following disheartening US PMIs prints.
Here’s why Ondo price hit new ATH amid bearish market outlook Premium
Ondo price shows no signs of slowing down after setting up an all-time high (ATH) at $1.05 on March 31. This development is likely to be followed by a correction and ATH but not necessarily in that order.
Germany’s economic come back
Germany is the sick man of Europe no more. Thanks to its service sector, it now appears that it will exit recession, and the economic future could be bright. The PMI data for April surprised on the upside for Germany, led by the service sector.