|

SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF – XLE Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF – XLE (one-day) Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Major trend.

Mode: Motive.

Structure: Impulse wave.

Position: Wave (5).

Direction: Uptrend.

Details:

  • The wave (4) decline has found its bottom, and the current upward movement marks the early stages of wave (5).

  • This rally could represent either wave 1 or [i] of (5), suggesting a lengthy development.

  • We anticipate the rally to surpass the $97.92 high comfortably.

  • Although wave (4) could evolve into a more complex correction, adhering to Occam’s Razor remains the preferred approach.

Invalidation level: $74.49

SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF – XLE (four-hour) Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Major trend.

Mode: Motive.

Structure: Impulse.

Position: Wave iii.

Direction: Rally.

Details:

  • Wave iii has commenced and is expected to extend, with a potential leading diagonal forming.

  • The $76.00 level is crucial for gauging any downside movement.

  • The ongoing wave [2] correction should end within the highlighted Fibonacci levels.

  • Once the correction concludes, a rally confirmed by surpassing $83.19 should follow.

  • Optimal entry strategy: wait for a throwback before considering long positions.

Invalidation level: $74.49

Conclusion

The overall summary of the Elliott Wave analysis:

  • The 4th wave has concluded, and we are transitioning into the 5th wave, which should be impulsive and reach new highs.

  • $74.49 remains the critical invalidation point for any downward movement.

  • After a minor wave [2] pullback that does not invalidate the count, a long position is advised.

  • Strict compliance with Elliott Wave principles and monitoring invalidation levels are crucial to avoid unnecessary trading losses.

SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF – XLE Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).