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S&P 500 Price Analysis: This intraday trendline break could signal higher prices ahead

  • The S&P 500 is trading 1.37% higher on Wednesday in another good session for equities.
  • The technical signs are good at the moment but there is a key technical resistance nearby.

S&P 500 4-hour chart

The US bourses have been on a bullish run on Wednesday as risk sentiment remains positive. The price has just tested the black downward sloping trendline but we will need to wait to see if it manages to close above the level.

Looking at the red rectangle, the area represents a key resistance zone coupled with the 76.4% Fibonacci resistance. Elliott Wave analysts often look for a rejection of the 76.4% retracement when looking for a wave 1-2 completion. Unfortunately, we won't know if it is a wave 1-2 until the wave low just above 3000 breaks to the downside. If the level does break then the market could take a run at the highs. At the moment the high on the chart stands at 3233.25.

Looking at the indicators, the Relative Strength Index does have some more room to move to the upside. It is holding in a bullish area above the 50 zone and potentially could hit the overbought area soon. The MACD histogram is firmly in the green. One of the signal lines has crossed above the mid-level while the other is marginally behind. 

The overall trend is still very much an uptrend. For a technical trend change to occur a break of 2936.50 is needed. This could complete a lower high lower low pattern and the market could head to lower levels. At the moment this is far from being the case, the trend is up and it will be important to see if the price can break the trendline by the close. If it does it could be the confirmation the bulls have been craving for.

S&P 500 trendline break

Additional levels

SP 500

Overview
Today last price3117
Today Daily Change42.00
Today Daily Change %1.37
Today daily open3075
 
Trends
Daily SMA203106.41
Daily SMA502993.94
Daily SMA1002910.51
Daily SMA2003025.62
 
Levels
Previous Daily High3085.25
Previous Daily Low3041.25
Previous Weekly High3156.5
Previous Weekly Low3004
Previous Monthly High3233.25
Previous Monthly Low2936.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%3068.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%3058.06
Daily Pivot Point S13049.08
Daily Pivot Point S23023.17
Daily Pivot Point S33005.08
Daily Pivot Point R13093.08
Daily Pivot Point R23111.17
Daily Pivot Point R33137.08

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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