S&P 500 Price Analysis: Key levels to watch in the week ahead – Confluence Detector

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

The S&P 500 Index closed the holiday-shortened week higher by over 3%, although off the three-week high of 3,165.81. The stocks surged on vaccine hopes and record US June Non-Farm Payrolls addition. Let’s take a look at the Technical Confluences Indicator to know how the index is positioned heading into a fresh week.

The tool shows that the S&P 500 closed the week above the key support at 3,120.87, where the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and Bollinger Band (BB) 15-minutes Lower coincide.

The immediate resistance, therefore, lies around 3,129, a cluster of barriers are stacked up. That level is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and SMA 10 one-hour.

On clearance of the latter, the bulls will target the next strong resistance at 3,165, the intersection of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the previous week high and Fibonacci 161.8% one-day.

If the bears manage to take out the aforesaid support at 3,120.87, the next cushion awaits at 3,115, which is the confluence of the previous day low and BB one-hour Lower.

The support at 3,103 will likely test the bears’ commitment on the south run, as the convergence of the Fibonacci38.2% one-week and SMA 1 one-day makes it a critical barrier.

Here is how it looks on the tool

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold languishes below $4,200 amid high US yields

Gold trims some losses on Monday, but remains trapped within previous ranges, with upside attempts limited below $4,200 and with two-month lows of $4,110 at a short distance. The recent pullback on the US Dollar Index has provided some support for precious metals although the high US Treasury yields are keeping a floor on US Dollar dips so far.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin rally slows while Ethereum and XRP extend recovery amid slowing ETF inflows

Bitcoin is narrowly consolidating while trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, on the other hand, show a positive outlook, with Ethereum edging higher above $2,700 while Ripple steadies above $1.52.

ISM Services PMI expected to show robust US economy in September

The US ISM Services PMI is expected to improve marginally in September. The US services sector is expected to remain well into expansionary territory. Bets of further Fed tightening appear to have lost traction in the last few days.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.