|

S&P 500 Index: Correction lower to emerge from 3900 – Credit Suisse

The S&P 500 Index is set to be capped for now at 3900 and a correction lower can emerge from here, according to the Credit Suisse analyst team.

Key quotes

“S&P 500 has paused beneath next flagged Fibonacci and potential trend resistance at 3866/68. Although momentum is still unable to confirm the new highs, with a large bullish ‘outside week’ in place from the beginning of the year, we still look for a break above 3868 for a move to our long-held and core ‘measured triangle objective’ from October at 3900.” 

“With daily and weekly DeMark sequential exhaustion signals all but in place now, 10yr US Inflation Breakevens being capped at their next major resistance and our target and with a cluster of further Fibonacci projection resistances seen here and stretching up to 3930, we maintain our bias of looking for a correction to then emerge from 3900.” 

“Support moves to 3845 initially, then 3827/23, below which can see a test of the price gap from Wednesday morning, seen starting at 3816 and stretching down to 3798, which we look to ideally hold. Below here would increase the risk a correction lower may have already begun, although only below 3750 would be seen marking a near-term top.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).