|

S&P 500 Futures: Mildly offered below 4,400 as Fed tapering concerns battle China news

  • S&P 500 Futures track Wall Street losses as tapering tantrums remain intact.
  • Taiwan, phase one deal hint at further US-China tussles.
  • US holiday restricts market moves, Wednesday becomes the key day for markets.

S&P 500 Futures remain on the back for the second consecutive day, down 0.15% intraday around 4,375 during early Monday.

The risk barometer portrays the market’s indecision amid mixed clues concerning the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next moves and the China-linked headlines amid a quiet Asian session.

Although the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) questioned Fed tapering concerns on Friday, welcome prints of September’s Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings challenged equity bulls. That said, NFP dropped to 194K versus 500K expected but the prior reading got an upward revision to 366K. On the same line, the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.8%, versus 5.1% expected and 5.2% prior, soothing the pains, whereas Average Hourly Earnings also jumped past 0.4% expected and revised down previous readouts of 0.4% to 0.6%.

On a different page, the fresh Sino-American tussles over phase one deal commitments challenge the market sentiment. Furthermore, Hong Kong and Taiwan face challenges from China and add to the risk-off mood. It's worth observing that China's efforts to defend the financial markets from the Evergrande-led woes seem to fail of late, which in turn keeps the traders on the edge.

Alternatively, off in the US joins the recently improving covid conditions in the West, not to forget US debt ceiling extension and hopes for more stimulus, to back the bulls.

Even so, US Columbus Day will restrict market moves as bond trading is off while the equities may wobble amid a lighter calendar at home.

That being said, Wednesday becomes the week’s crucial day as the US releases monthly inflation data together with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes for the latest monetary policy meeting. Given the latest challenges to the Fed tapering, these catalysts will be crucial for the near-term market direction.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).