|

S&P 500 Futures ease from two-month high, yields poke monthly low amid Poland-linked risk aversion

  • Market sentiment sours amid fresh geopolitical fears surrounding Poland.
  • A jump in China’s Covid numbers also challenges the risk appetite.
  • Softer US data, mixed comments from Federal Reserve officials keep yields depressed.
  • US Retail Sales, headlines from NATO, G7 meetings will be important for fresh impulse.

After witnessing a risk-on mood the previous day, traders experience a downbeat mood on the floor during early Wednesday. That said, the market’s latest fears could be linked to the headlines over the alleged Russian missile attack on Poland, as well as the higher prints of China’s Coronavirus numbers.

While portraying the mood, the S&P 500 Futures part ways from Wall Street’s upbeat performance despite losing some weight by the day’s end. In doing so, the key gauge of the US equity futures drop half a percent to 3,983 as it reverses from the highest levels marked since early September, poked on Tuesday.

On the other hand, the US 10-year Treasury yields keep the previous day’s losses around a one-month low whereas the two-year Bond coupons also print a three-day downtrend. That said, both the Treasury yields are depressed around 3.77% and 4.33% by the press time.

Talking about Poland, Russian-made missiles killed two people in the European nation bordering Ukraine and amplified geopolitical fears due to its status as a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Even if Moscow’s military denies any such attempt, the NATO Ambassadors and the members of the Group of Seven Nations (G7) are up for emergency meetings and raised fears.

Elsewhere, China is going through a rough patch when it comes to the Coronavirus as the latest count appears worrisome. That said, China’s National Health Commission (NHC) reported around 17,772 new Covid cases on Tuesday, the highest total since April 2021. It should be observed that the manufacturing hub Guangzhou, unfortunately, accounts for more than a quarter of the national tally.

Alternatively, softer US data and the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers’ assent to the market’s 50bps rate hike concerns seem to challenge the pessimists. On Tuesday, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for October dropped to 8.0% YoY versus market forecasts of 8.3% and the downwardly revised prior of 8.4%.

Moving on, the geopolitical and Covid woes can challenge the riskier assets ahead of the US Retail Sales for October, expected 1.0% versus 0.0% prior.

Also read: Conflicting Poland reports put a bid back into Wall Street, S&P 500 pops

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.