|

S&P 500 declines to $4,278 as US Treasury yields surge once more

  • The S&P 500 fell on Thursday alongside broad US equity indexes as investors pulled back.
  • US Treasury yields continue to climb, 10-year T-note reaches 4.996%.
  • Wall Street was hoping for a firmer dovish showing from Fed head Powell.

The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 equity index shed 36.60 points to close down 0.85% at $4,278 on Thursday after stock traders were snubbed by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, who failed to meet dovish expectations on the Fed's rate outlook, while US Treasury yields continue to climb into highs not seen in over a decade.

The 10-year Treasury note hit a yield of 4.996%, its highest in sixteen years since last crossing the 5% yield mark back in February of 2007.

Fed head Jerome Powell gave moderately dovish comments while speaking at the Economic Club of New York, noting that policy remains tight but the Fed remains ready to act if inflationary pressures reappear. The policy-based statements threw a wrench into equity markets as investors were hoping for a firmly dovish showing from the Fed.

Jerome Powell says higher bond yields are producing tighter financial conditions

Money markets are pricing in a 97% chance of no rate hikes from the Fed at their next rate call, but Wall Street is hoping for indications that the US central bank will accelerate future rate cuts, currently expected some time in the second half of 2024.

Across the US equity boards, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell 250.91 points to close down 0.75% at $33,414.17, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite tumbled just shy of a full percent, losing 128.13 points to close at $13,186.18, down 0.96%.

S&P 500 Technical Outlook

The S&P's Thursday slide extends a bearish turnaround from the $4,400 level, and setting up for a near-term challenge of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently rising into the $4,250 chart region.

With the 50-day SMA descending on price action from above, technical charts are set to be constrained until sufficient momentum can be built up for a significant break in either direction.

The S&P remains incredibly well-bid for 2023, but downside pressure is mounting as successive lower highs drag down upside potential.

S&P 500 Daily Chart

S&P 500 Technical Levels

SP 500

Overview
Today last price4274.83
Today Daily Change-37.29
Today Daily Change %-0.86
Today daily open4312.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA204312.06
Daily SMA504394.91
Daily SMA1004415.04
Daily SMA2004240.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High4370.94
Previous Daily Low4301.76
Previous Weekly High4396.16
Previous Weekly Low4266.9
Previous Monthly High4538.24
Previous Monthly Low4237.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%4328.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%4344.51
Daily Pivot Point S14285.61
Daily Pivot Point S24259.09
Daily Pivot Point S34216.43
Daily Pivot Point R14354.79
Daily Pivot Point R24397.45
Daily Pivot Point R34423.97

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold drifts lower as traders look to US CPI report for Fed rate cues amid Iran uncertainty

Gold meets with fresh supply, reversing a part of the previous day's strong move up to the $4,150 resistance zone amid a modest US Dollar uptick. Against the backdrop of firming US Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran offer some support to the safe-haven Greenback. However, USD bulls seem hesitant and opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.