|

S&P 500 bounces back amid rising US Treasury bond yields, strong US Dollar

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed with gains of 0.40% and 0.45%, respectively, despite the Fed’s decision to hold rates and upward revised rate forecasts.
  • US Treasury bond yields soared, with the 10-year benchmark note reaching a 16-year high at 4.533%.
  • Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors were the biggest gainers.

Wall Street finished Monday’s session with solid gains, while the Greenback extended its gains to a new year-to-date (YTD) high; at the same time, US Treasury bond yields climbed.

US equities register gains despite the Federal Reserve's upward revised rate forecasts, with Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors leading the way

The S&P 500 registered gains of 0.40% and ended at 4,337.44, while the heavy-tech Nasdaq led US equities gains with a .45% advance, closing at 13,271.32. The Dow Jones Industrial barely missed gains and was last up 0.13%, at 34,006.88.

Sector-wise, the biggest gainers were Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary, each gaining 1.28%, 0.80 %, and 0.67%. The laggards were Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Real Estate, erasing from its value 0.43%, 0.20%, and 0.17%, respectively.

Equities climbed despite last week’s US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to hold rates unchanged but upward revised forecast for the following year. The Federal Fund Rates (FFR) is expected to stay above 5% for 2023 and 2024, as revealed by the latest “dot-plots.”

Therefore, US Treasury bond yields exploited to the upside, with the 10-year benchmark note touching a 16-year high at 4.533%. The Greenback followed suit, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s performance versus six currencies, touching 106.10, a level last seen in November 2022.

Federal Reserve speakers continued to cross newswires with Austan Goolsbee from the Fed of Chicago, saying the path for a soft landing is possible, though a “lot of risks and the path is long and winding.” Last week, two Fed officials called for patience on the US central bank, Boston and San Francisco’s Fed Presidents Sussan Collins and Mary Daly.

In the meantime, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman stressed an additional rate hike is needed, maintaining her hawkish stance.

Data-wise, the US economic agenda, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index plunged -18.1 in September, from a -10.2 drop in August.

Gold remained pressured at around the $1,915.00 zone in the commodity space, weighed by the rise in US bond yields. WTI lost 0.50% in the day, as a strong US Dollar and Russia’s lifting fuel ban weighed on the “black gold” price, despite being underpinned by tight supplies after Saudi Arabia and Russia’s 1.3-million-barrel crude oil cut.

S&P 500 Price Action – Daily Chart

S&P 500 Technical Levels

SP 500

Overview
Today last price
4335.26
Today Daily Change
16.53
Today Daily Change %
0.38
Today daily open
4318.73
 
Trends
Daily SMA20
4457.58
Daily SMA50
4475.96
Daily SMA100
4387.46
Daily SMA200
4199.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High
4355
Previous Daily Low
4314.54
Previous Weekly High
4464.19
Previous Weekly Low
4314.54
Previous Monthly High
4590.64
Previous Monthly Low
4337.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%
4330
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%
4339.54
Daily Pivot Point S1
4303.85
Daily Pivot Point S2
4288.96
Daily Pivot Point S3
4263.39
Daily Pivot Point R1
4344.31
Daily Pivot Point R2
4369.88
Daily Pivot Point R3
4384.77

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the bearish bias near 1.1650

EUR/USD comes under renewed pressure on turnaround Tuesday, giving back part of its post-CPI bounce and easing toward the 1.1650 area as US markets draw to a close. In the background, the US Dollar is edging higher as markets continue to digest December’s inflation data and gear up for Wednesday’s Retail Sales and Producer Prices.

GBP/USD attempts some consolidation around 1.3430

GBP/USD trades on the back foot at the end of the NA session on Tuesday, hovering around the 1.3430 zone against the backdrop of the resumption of the buying interest in the Greenback. Moving forward, the BoE’s Taylor and Ramsden are due to speak on Wednesday.

Gold begins a new record run

Gold shrugs off early gains to fresh record highs above $4,630 per ounce on Tuesday, and returns to the vicinity of the $4,600 region amid further improvement in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields following the release of US CPI data.

Privacy coins set to take the lead in 2026 as regulation accelerates demand for on-chain anonymity

The segment of privacy coins outperforms the broader cryptocurrency market, with a roughly 290% rise in 2025. The rising user count on the cryptocurrency tumbler Tornado Cash amid regulatory pushes, such as the 2025 GENIUS Act, reflects a surge in demand for privacy.

More pressure on the Federal Reserve emerges

News broke on Sunday night that the Federal Reserve received grand jury subpoenas from the Department of Justice on Friday, escalating the Trump administration's pressure on the nation's central bank. 

XRP consolidates above $2.00 as on-chain and derivatives activity decline

Ripple (XRP) is trading sideways above support at $2.00 at the time of writing on Tuesday. Recovery has remained elusive despite steady inflows into spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), which have cumulatively attracted $1.23 billion.