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S&P 500 bounces back amid rising US Treasury bond yields, strong US Dollar

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed with gains of 0.40% and 0.45%, respectively, despite the Fed’s decision to hold rates and upward revised rate forecasts.
  • US Treasury bond yields soared, with the 10-year benchmark note reaching a 16-year high at 4.533%.
  • Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors were the biggest gainers.

Wall Street finished Monday’s session with solid gains, while the Greenback extended its gains to a new year-to-date (YTD) high; at the same time, US Treasury bond yields climbed.

US equities register gains despite the Federal Reserve's upward revised rate forecasts, with Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors leading the way

The S&P 500 registered gains of 0.40% and ended at 4,337.44, while the heavy-tech Nasdaq led US equities gains with a .45% advance, closing at 13,271.32. The Dow Jones Industrial barely missed gains and was last up 0.13%, at 34,006.88.

Sector-wise, the biggest gainers were Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary, each gaining 1.28%, 0.80 %, and 0.67%. The laggards were Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Real Estate, erasing from its value 0.43%, 0.20%, and 0.17%, respectively.

Equities climbed despite last week’s US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to hold rates unchanged but upward revised forecast for the following year. The Federal Fund Rates (FFR) is expected to stay above 5% for 2023 and 2024, as revealed by the latest “dot-plots.”

Therefore, US Treasury bond yields exploited to the upside, with the 10-year benchmark note touching a 16-year high at 4.533%. The Greenback followed suit, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s performance versus six currencies, touching 106.10, a level last seen in November 2022.

Federal Reserve speakers continued to cross newswires with Austan Goolsbee from the Fed of Chicago, saying the path for a soft landing is possible, though a “lot of risks and the path is long and winding.” Last week, two Fed officials called for patience on the US central bank, Boston and San Francisco’s Fed Presidents Sussan Collins and Mary Daly.

In the meantime, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman stressed an additional rate hike is needed, maintaining her hawkish stance.

Data-wise, the US economic agenda, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index plunged -18.1 in September, from a -10.2 drop in August.

Gold remained pressured at around the $1,915.00 zone in the commodity space, weighed by the rise in US bond yields. WTI lost 0.50% in the day, as a strong US Dollar and Russia’s lifting fuel ban weighed on the “black gold” price, despite being underpinned by tight supplies after Saudi Arabia and Russia’s 1.3-million-barrel crude oil cut.

S&P 500 Price Action – Daily Chart

S&P 500 Technical Levels

SP 500

Overview
Today last price4335.26
Today Daily Change16.53
Today Daily Change %0.38
Today daily open4318.73
 
Trends
Daily SMA204457.58
Daily SMA504475.96
Daily SMA1004387.46
Daily SMA2004199.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High4355
Previous Daily Low4314.54
Previous Weekly High4464.19
Previous Weekly Low4314.54
Previous Monthly High4590.64
Previous Monthly Low4337.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%4330
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%4339.54
Daily Pivot Point S14303.85
Daily Pivot Point S24288.96
Daily Pivot Point S34263.39
Daily Pivot Point R14344.31
Daily Pivot Point R24369.88
Daily Pivot Point R34384.77

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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