|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD under pressure ahead of the Fed, tumbles to 23.00

  • Metals drop sharply so far on Wednesday, ahead of the FOMC statement.
  • US dollar gains momentum, rises modestly following better-than-expected US data.
  • XAG/USD extends weekly losses, finds support at $23.00.

Silver and gold are falling sharply on Wednesday before the FOMC statement. XAG/USD is now off lows, hovering around $23.25, down 1.20% for the day. Earlier, it tumbled to $23.00, reaching the lowest level since October 18.

The sharp decline represents an extension of the slide that started from levels near $25.00 last week. It has accelerated over the last two days, when it dropped from $24.05.

The US dollar gained some momentum following US economic data but it still remains mixed for the day across the board as market participants await the outcome of the FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a taper to its purchase program. The tone and the words of Jerome Powell are likely to trigger volatility, including metals.

The ADP reports showed private payrolls increased by 571K in October, above the 400K expected, while the ISM service sector rose to a record high level of 66.7 in October. The data boosted US yields and added support to the dollar. Still, the FOMC meeting will be the key driver, at least until Friday’s NFP.

A daily close for XAG/USD under $22.70 would point to a renewed weakness while a recovery back above $24.00 should clear the way again for a test of $25.00.

Technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.12
Today Daily Change-0.42
Today Daily Change %-1.78
Today daily open23.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.55
Daily SMA5023.39
Daily SMA10024.29
Daily SMA20025.45
 
Levels
Previous Daily High24.07
Previous Daily Low23.39
Previous Weekly High24.62
Previous Weekly Low23.66
Previous Monthly High24.83
Previous Monthly Low22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.81
Daily Pivot Point S123.26
Daily Pivot Point S222.99
Daily Pivot Point S322.59
Daily Pivot Point R123.94
Daily Pivot Point R224.34
Daily Pivot Point R324.61

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold remains depressed around $4,350 amid rate jitters, modest USD strength

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session, and currently trades around $4,350, down over 0.50% for the day. The commodity, however, holds comfortably above a six-week low, touched last Wednesday as traders await further developments around the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This, in turn, would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.