|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plummets almost 2%, amid a risk-off market mood

  • XAG/USD falls on the back of the discovery of a new COVD-19 variant in South Africa.
  • Risk-off market mood spurred by the COVID-19 NU variant triggered a sell-off in the precious metals segment.

Silver (XAG/USD) extends its overnight session losses, plunges 1.91% in the day, trading at $23.14 during the New York session at the time of writing. The discovery of a new COVID-19 variant called NU in South Africa dented the market sentiment.

South Africa discovered a new COVID-19 variant, which dampened market sentiment

According to wires, the global scientific community is on alert. There is a chance that the new COVID-19 variant “NU” discovered in South Africa, could be more virulent than the Delta and vaccine-resistant. Scientists said that it has many mutations on the spike protein, and it is the “most evolved” variant yet discovered from the original virus.

In the overnight session, XAG/USD reached a daily high at $23.70. However, once the level was reached, COVD-19 news crossing the wires triggered a $0.40 drop that found some follow-through as the European and North American sessions progressed. In the last couple of hours, silver broke below $23.00 but bounced off Friday’s low at $22.87, reclaiming the $23.00 as of writing.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback’s performance against a basket of six rivals, falls 0.60%, sits at 96.15, underpinned by falling US T-bond yields, with the 10-year benchmark note, slides 14 basis points, down to 1.50%.

Therefore, COVID-19 developments would be the main drivers for silver and commodity traders. It is worth noticing that gold is trading with heavy losses, collapsed $15.00 in the day, standing at $1,785, at press time. Further, Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), US crude oil benchmark is down 11.63%, trading at $68.91.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Silver (XAG/USD) has a bearish bias, as depicted by the daily moving averages (DMA’s) residing above the spot price. That, alongside the Relative Strenght Index (RSI) at 36, indicates that the non-yielding metal still has enough room to print another leg-down.

In the outcome of extending the downtrend, the first demand zone would be the $23.00 figure. A breach of the latter would expose crucial support levels, like the October 12 swing low at $22.34, followed by the psychological $22.00.

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.14
Today Daily Change-0.45
Today Daily Change %-1.91
Today daily open23.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.32
Daily SMA5023.54
Daily SMA10024.01
Daily SMA20025.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.73
Previous Daily Low23.52
Previous Weekly High25.41
Previous Weekly Low24.56
Previous Monthly High24.83
Previous Monthly Low22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.6
Daily Pivot Point S123.5
Daily Pivot Point S223.4
Daily Pivot Point S323.28
Daily Pivot Point R123.71
Daily Pivot Point R223.82
Daily Pivot Point R323.92

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed 0.7000, awaits FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its recent recovery move and trades with a negative bias below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the pair under pressure despite hawkish RBA expectations. All eyes now remain on the FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold falls as US Dollar, Treasury yields rebound ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold falls nearly 1.20% as the US Dollar and US Treasury yields resume their advance. Traders await the FOMC Minutes for fresh clues on the likelihood of another rate hike before year-end.

Dogecoin extended correction and weakening momentum raise downside risks

Dogecoin extends its losses, trading around $0.090 down more than 5% so far this week. Bearish pressure is strengthening, with short positions reaching a one-month high and traders in overheated conditions. Meanwhile, weakening momentum indicators are also hinting at further losses in DOGE. Derivatives data shows cautious signals among traders.

Risk sentiment sours, as UK employment picture darkens

Risk sentiment is deteriorating further as we move through Wednesday. The price of Brent crude oil is now above $102 per barrel, the sell off in European stock indices is deepening, and the gold price is lower by more than 1%.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.