|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plummets almost 2%, amid a risk-off market mood

  • XAG/USD falls on the back of the discovery of a new COVD-19 variant in South Africa.
  • Risk-off market mood spurred by the COVID-19 NU variant triggered a sell-off in the precious metals segment.

Silver (XAG/USD) extends its overnight session losses, plunges 1.91% in the day, trading at $23.14 during the New York session at the time of writing. The discovery of a new COVID-19 variant called NU in South Africa dented the market sentiment.

South Africa discovered a new COVID-19 variant, which dampened market sentiment

According to wires, the global scientific community is on alert. There is a chance that the new COVID-19 variant “NU” discovered in South Africa, could be more virulent than the Delta and vaccine-resistant. Scientists said that it has many mutations on the spike protein, and it is the “most evolved” variant yet discovered from the original virus.

In the overnight session, XAG/USD reached a daily high at $23.70. However, once the level was reached, COVD-19 news crossing the wires triggered a $0.40 drop that found some follow-through as the European and North American sessions progressed. In the last couple of hours, silver broke below $23.00 but bounced off Friday’s low at $22.87, reclaiming the $23.00 as of writing.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback’s performance against a basket of six rivals, falls 0.60%, sits at 96.15, underpinned by falling US T-bond yields, with the 10-year benchmark note, slides 14 basis points, down to 1.50%.

Therefore, COVID-19 developments would be the main drivers for silver and commodity traders. It is worth noticing that gold is trading with heavy losses, collapsed $15.00 in the day, standing at $1,785, at press time. Further, Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), US crude oil benchmark is down 11.63%, trading at $68.91.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Silver (XAG/USD) has a bearish bias, as depicted by the daily moving averages (DMA’s) residing above the spot price. That, alongside the Relative Strenght Index (RSI) at 36, indicates that the non-yielding metal still has enough room to print another leg-down.

In the outcome of extending the downtrend, the first demand zone would be the $23.00 figure. A breach of the latter would expose crucial support levels, like the October 12 swing low at $22.34, followed by the psychological $22.00.

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.14
Today Daily Change-0.45
Today Daily Change %-1.91
Today daily open23.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.32
Daily SMA5023.54
Daily SMA10024.01
Daily SMA20025.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.73
Previous Daily Low23.52
Previous Weekly High25.41
Previous Weekly Low24.56
Previous Monthly High24.83
Previous Monthly Low22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.6
Daily Pivot Point S123.5
Daily Pivot Point S223.4
Daily Pivot Point S323.28
Daily Pivot Point R123.71
Daily Pivot Point R223.82
Daily Pivot Point R323.92

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.