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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD dives below $19.00 on high US T-bond yields

  • Silver price registered losses for two consecutive days, dropping below the $19.00 figure.
  • US Retail Sales rebounded unexpectedly, while weekly jobless claims dropped.
  • Silver traders eye the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment alongside next week’s FOMC decision.

Silver prices are dropping for the second consecutive day amidst a risk-off impulse, courtesy of worries about an aggressive Fed and expectations of a 75 or 100 bps interest rate hike by the Fed. Therefore, US Treasury bond yields spiked, underpinning the greenback, a headwind for the white metal. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD is trading at $18.91, below the $19.00 handle.

Sentiment remains negative, with global equities registering losses. US data released on Thursday cemented the case for a third consecutive 75 bps rate hike by the Fed, with Retail Sales in August exceeding estimations for a drop of 0.1%, increasing by 0.3% MoM, but on an annual basis, missed the last number.

In the meantime, the US Labor Department revealed that unemployment claims for the week ending on September 10 diminished by 213K, less than forecasts of 227K, illustrating the tightness of the labor market.

Elsewhere, a tranche of regional Fed Manufacturing Indices was reported, led by the New York and Philadelphia Fed. The Empire State Index, albeit improving, failed to exit from contractionary conditions, while the Philadelphia Fed index tumbled to the contractionary territory after rebounding in the August report.

What to watch

The US economic docket will feature the  University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment alongside consumer inflation expectations.

Silver (XAG/USD) Key Technical Levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price18.91
Today Daily Change-0.71
Today Daily Change %-3.62
Today daily open19.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.79
Daily SMA5019.25
Daily SMA10020.41
Daily SMA20022.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High19.7
Previous Daily Low19.24
Previous Weekly High18.95
Previous Weekly Low17.85
Previous Monthly High20.88
Previous Monthly Low17.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%19.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%19.41
Daily Pivot Point S119.35
Daily Pivot Point S219.07
Daily Pivot Point S318.89
Daily Pivot Point R119.81
Daily Pivot Point R219.98
Daily Pivot Point R320.26

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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