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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD slips below $26.00 mark, fresh session lows

  • Silver met with some fresh supply near the $26.25-30 region on the first day of the week.
  • The set-up supports prospects for an eventual break below the $25.75-70 confluence area.
  • A sustained strength beyond the 38.2% Fibo. level is needed to negate the negative outlook.

Silver struggled to capitalize on its early uptick, instead met with some fresh supply near the $26.25-30 static resistance on the first day of a new trading week. The mentioned barrier coincides with the 50% Fibonacci level of the $23.78-$28.75 move up and should act as a pivotal point for intraday traders.

The intraday downfall dragged the XAG/USD below the $26.00 mark, or fresh daily lows during the early European session. The next relevant support is pegged near the $25.75-70 confluence region – comprising the very important 200-day SMA and the 61.8% Fibo. level – ahead of June monthly swing lows, around mid-$25.00s.

Sustained weakness below will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and set the stage for an extension of last week's rejection slide from the vicinity of the 38.2% Fibo. level. The negative outlook is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on the daily chart are still holding in the bearish territory.

Hence, a convincing break below the mentioned support levels should pave the way for a further near-term depreciating move. The XAG/USD might then turn vulnerable to extend the downward trajectory further towards challenging the key $25.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, the $26.25-30 region might continue to keep a lid on any attempted positive move. This is followed by resistance near mid-$26.00s ahead of the $26.80 supply zone, or a strong barrier marked by the 38.2% Fibo. level. A sustained strength beyond will negate any near-term negative bias and prompt some short-covering move.

The XAG/USD might then aim to surpass the $27.00 round-figure mark and accelerate the positive momentum further towards the 23.6% Fibo. level, around mid-$27.00s.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price25.99
Today Daily Change-0.08
Today Daily Change %-0.31
Today daily open26.07
 
Trends
Daily SMA2026.26
Daily SMA5027.07
Daily SMA10026.47
Daily SMA20025.81
 
Levels
Previous Daily High26.21
Previous Daily Low25.76
Previous Weekly High26.78
Previous Weekly Low25.76
Previous Monthly High28.56
Previous Monthly Low25.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%26.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.93
Daily Pivot Point S125.82
Daily Pivot Point S225.57
Daily Pivot Point S325.38
Daily Pivot Point R126.27
Daily Pivot Point R226.46
Daily Pivot Point R326.71

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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