Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD sits near two-week high, 200-day SMA holds the key for bulls


  • Silver attracts some dip-buying on Tuesday and climbs back to a nearly two-week top.
  • The mixed technical setup warrants caution before placing aggressive directional bets.
  • The 200-day SMA is likely to keep a lid on any further gains and act as a pivotal point.

Silver reverses modest intraday losses to the $23.15 area and climbs back closer to a nearly two-week high touched this Tuesday. The white metal now trades around the $23.25 region during the early European session, nearly unchanged for the day.

From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart – though have been recovering from lower levels – are still holding in the negative territory and favour bearish traders. That said, last week's solid bounce from the $22.30 support area – representing an ascending trend line extending from the June monthly low – and the subsequent strength warrants caution before positioning for deeper losses ahead of the pivotal FOMC monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

In the meantime, any meaningful decline is likely to find some support near the $23.00 round figure ahead of the $22.80 area and the $23.30 region or a nearly one-month low touched last Thursday. A convincing break below the latter will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make the XAG/USD vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards the next relevant support near the $21.25 zone. The downward trajectory could get extended further towards the $21.00 mark.

On the flip side, momentum beyond the $23.30 area, or the daily peak, could face stiff resistance and remain capped near a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged around the $23.45 region. A sustained breakout, however, could shift the bias in favour of bullish traders. This, in turn, should allow the XAG/USD to climb further beyond the 100-day SMA barrier near the $23.80 region and aim to reclaim the $24.00 round-figure mark.

The next relevant hurdle is pegged near the $24.30-$24.35 region, above which the XAG/USD is likely to conquer the $25.00 psychological mark. The latter coincides with the August monthly swing high and is closely followed by the July peak, around the $25.25 region.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.21
Today Daily Change -0.05
Today Daily Change % -0.21
Today daily open 23.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.64
Daily SMA50 23.74
Daily SMA100 23.72
Daily SMA200 23.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.26
Previous Daily Low 22.96
Previous Weekly High 23.29
Previous Weekly Low 22.3
Previous Monthly High 25.02
Previous Monthly Low 22.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.08
Daily Pivot Point S1 23.06
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.86
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.76
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.36
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.46
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.65

 

 

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