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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD retests descending trend-line hurdle, around mid-$19.00s

  • Silver prolongs its upward trajectory and climbs to over a one-week high on Monday.
  • Bulls still seem to struggle to make it through a multi-month-old descending trend line.
  • Sustained break below the $18.35 area will expose the YTD low touched in September.

Silver builds on last week's bounce from sub-$18.00 levels and gains some follow-through traction for the second successive day on Monday. This also marks the fourth day of a positive move in the previous five and lifts the white metal to over a one-week high, around mid-$19.00s during the early part of the European session.

Bulls, however, still seem to struggle to make it through a downward sloping trend-line extending from May swing high. The said barrier, around the $19.50 region, should now act as a pivotal point, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for additional gains and allow the XAG/USD to aim to reclaim the $20.00 psychological mark.

The latter coincides with the 100-day SMA, above which the XAG/USD could accelerate the move towards the $20.50 intermediate resistance en route to the $21.00 round-figure mark. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for an extension of the momentum towards the next relevant hurdle near the $21.50-$21.55 horizontal zone.

On the flip side, the $19.00 mark could act as immediate support ahead of the $18.85-$18.80 zone and the $18.35 area. Failure to defend the said support levels will shift the bias in favour of bears and make the XAG/USD vulnerable to breaking below the $18.00 mark and test the YTD low, around the $17.55 region touched in September.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price19.35
Today Daily Change0.31
Today Daily Change %1.63
Today daily open19.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA2019
Daily SMA5019.3
Daily SMA10020.05
Daily SMA20021.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High19.29
Previous Daily Low18.78
Previous Weekly High19.29
Previous Weekly Low17.97
Previous Monthly High20.02
Previous Monthly Low17.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%19.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%18.97
Daily Pivot Point S118.78
Daily Pivot Point S218.52
Daily Pivot Point S318.27
Daily Pivot Point R119.3
Daily Pivot Point R219.55
Daily Pivot Point R319.81

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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