|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD remains subdued in low $24.00s amid broad risk appetite recovery

  • Silver prices have traded in subdued fashion on Friday as a sharp pick up in risk appetite dampened safe-haven demand.
  • Spot prices have remained subdued in the low $24.00s with the $24.50 mark acting as a ceiling.
  • As the war in Ukraine rages on and the Western sanctions response to Russia evolves, uncertainty remains high.

A surge in risk appetite that has seen US equity push back to highs on the week and risk-sensitive currencies perform well is weighing heavily on safe-haven assets like precious metals, government bonds and the US dollar and yen. Hopes that there might be an opportunity for diplomacy between Russia and Ukraine that could bring an end to the war just as it is getting started are one factor fuelling the better mood. The West’s “soft” sanction response to Russia (so far) that has avoided hitting the country’s energy sector is another. Spot silver (XAG/USD) prices have unsurprisingly struggled to make headway on the final trading day of the week, with the $24.50 level acting as a ceiling to the price action.

At current levels around $24.10, silver prices are down about 0.5% on the day and nearly 6.0% lower versus Thursday’s highs above $25.50. Whether the air continues to come out of silver’s recent geopolitical tensions-fuelled rally (XAG/USD is still up more than 7.0% on the month) will be headline dependent. If the chatter about talks between Moscow and Kyiv that could result in an early end to the war does continue to gain traction, that could be a negative catalyst that sends spot silver back below $24.00.

Alternatively, momentum seems to be building towards Western nations kicking Russia out of the SWIFT international payments system, which could reignite some fears about economic disruption. If momentum also builds towards energy sanctions, economic uncertainty and demand for inflation protection could easily lift XAG/USD back above its 200-Day Moving Average at $24.20 and into the upper $24.00s. Traders should remain on their toes. Dependent on developments over the weekend, things could go either way quite aggressively next Monday.

XAG/Usd

Overview
Today last price24.13
Today Daily Change-0.03
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open24.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.35
Daily SMA5023.18
Daily SMA10023.36
Daily SMA20024.2
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.62
Previous Daily Low23.84
Previous Weekly High24.09
Previous Weekly Low23.08
Previous Monthly High24.7
Previous Monthly Low21.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%24.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.94
Daily Pivot Point S123.46
Daily Pivot Point S222.77
Daily Pivot Point S321.69
Daily Pivot Point R125.24
Daily Pivot Point R226.32
Daily Pivot Point R327.01

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold: Sellers test $4,350 on renewed USD upside

Gold kicks off the new week on a weaker note following Friday's failure near the $4,400 mark. The commodity currently trades near the $4,350 level as traders await further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Dogecoin extends gains as ETF inflows return and momentum improves

Dogecoin extends its recovery, trading above $0.088 after gaining nearly 6% last week. The bullish price outlook is supported by the return of institutional demand through DOGE spot Exchange Traded Funds. Meanwhile, improving momentum indicators and signs of whale accumulation suggest a positive outlook for the dog-themed meme coin.

Economics week ahead

This week is light on the domestic data front, with focus on Thursday's new home sales report. We expect sales to partially recover in August, rising 2.6% to a 623K pace after a sharp decline in July. Higher mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand, though builder incentives remained in place and conditions did not worsen materially during the month.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.