Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD remains below 200-day SMA/61.8% Fibo. confluence


  • Silver climbs to a one-week high on Monday, albeit struggles to capitalize on the move up.
  • The technical setup seems tilted in favour of bulls and supports prospects for further gains.
  • A sustained move beyond the $23.30-40 confluence is needed to reaffirm the positive bias.

Silver (XAG/USD) gains some positive traction for the second successive day and touches a one-week high, around the $23.20 area during the Asian session on Monday. The white metal, however, struggles to capitalize on the move and remains below the $23.30-$23.40 confluence, comprising the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October downfall.

The aforementioned hurdle is followed by the $23.70-$23.75 supply zone, which should now act as a key pivotal point. Technical indicators on the daily chart, meanwhile, have been gaining positive traction and are still far from being in the overbought zone. Hence, a sustained strength beyond the said barriers will be seen as a fresh trigger for the XAG/USD bulls and pave the way for some meaningful appreciating move.

The subsequent move up could get extended beyond the $24.00 round-figure mark, towards testing the next relevant resistance near the $24.20 region. Some follow-through buying will confirm a fresh breakout and allow the XAG/USD to make a fresh attempt towards conquering the $25.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, slide back below the $23.00 round figure now seems to find some support near the $22.85 region, or the 50% Fibo. level. The next relevant support is pegged near last week's swing low, around the $22.55 area, ahead of the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $22.35-$22.30 static support. Failure to defend the said support levels might shift the bias in favour of the XAG/USD bears.

The downward trajectory could then get extended further towards the $22.00 round-figure mark, en route to the $21.70 region, representing 23.6% Fibo. level. Some follow-through selling could make the XAG/USD vulnerable to accelerate the fall further towards the $21.00 level before eventually dropping to the $20.70-$20.65 region, or its lowest level since March touched earlier this month.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.12
Today Daily Change 0.03
Today Daily Change % 0.13
Today daily open 23.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 22.27
Daily SMA50 22.97
Daily SMA100 23.25
Daily SMA200 23.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.13
Previous Daily Low 22.66
Previous Weekly High 23.36
Previous Weekly Low 22.44
Previous Monthly High 24.82
Previous Monthly Low 22.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 22.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 22.84
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.79
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.49
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.25
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.42
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.72

 

 

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