|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD prints bear flag on 4H, $22.50 is the key

  • Silver remains on the back foot inside a bearish chart pattern, snaps three-day uptrend.
  • Failures to cross 200-SMA, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement keep sellers hopeful.

Silver (XAG/USD) refreshes intraday low around $22.60, 0.31% on a day during early Thursday.

In doing so, the bright metal portrays daily loss for the first time in four while staying inside a bearish flag chart pattern.

That said, the metal’s sustained trading below 200-SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of January 07-20 upside, near $23.00, also keep sellers hopeful.

However, a clear downside break of the $22.50 becomes necessary to confirm the theoretical fall targeting the $20.00 threshold. During the fall, the last month’s low near $21.95 and December 2021 bottom surrounding $21.40 may act as intermediate halts.

Alternatively, a daily closing beyond $23.00 isn’t enough to convince silver buyers as the upper line of the stated flag will challenge the run-up near $23.15.

Following that, the 50.0% Fibo. surrounding $23.35 may test XAG/USD bulls before giving them control.

Silver: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price22.61
Today Daily Change-0.05
Today Daily Change %-0.22%
Today daily open22.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.13
Daily SMA5022.84
Daily SMA10023.18
Daily SMA20024.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.87
Previous Daily Low22.47
Previous Weekly High24.31
Previous Weekly Low22.15
Previous Monthly High24.7
Previous Monthly Low21.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.62
Daily Pivot Point S122.47
Daily Pivot Point S222.27
Daily Pivot Point S322.07
Daily Pivot Point R122.86
Daily Pivot Point R223.06
Daily Pivot Point R323.26

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.