|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD grinds within weekly triangle around mid-$25.00s as US inflation looms

  • Silver price portrays pre-data anxiety inside weekly symmetrical triangle, 100-SMA, 200-SMA adds strength to the breakout points.
  • Steady RSI suggests further grinding of XAG/USD price, highlighting the importance of US CPI for April.
  • Multiple trading filters stand tall to challenge commodity prices while buyers keep the reins.

Silver price (XAG/USD) aptly depicts the market’s cautious mood as traders brace for the all-important US inflation data, namely Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April, amid the early European session on Wednesday. In doing so, the bright metal seesaws within a symmetrical triangle comprising multiple levels marked since Monday, making rounds to $25.60-50 by the press time.

Apart from the aforementioned weekly symmetrical triangle, the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA also restrict the short-term XAG/USD moves between $25.70 and $25.40 in that order. That said, the steady RSI (14) line and the commodity’s sustained trading near the multi-month top marked the last week keep the Silver buyers hopeful.

Also acting as a short-term upside filter is a one-week-old horizontal area near $25.90 and the $26.00 round figure, not to forget the tops marked in April, as well as in the last week, around $26.10-15.

On the contrary, a clear downside break of $25.40 isn’t a welcome sign for the Silver sellers as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of April 25 to May 05 moves, near $25.10.

It’s worth mentioning that the previous monthly low joins multiple tops marked during early 2023 to highlight the $24.50 level as an important support for the Silver bears to watch for entries.

Overall, the Silver price remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest inaction.

Silver price: Hourly chart

Trend: Gradual upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price25.62
Today Daily Change0.01
Today Daily Change %0.04%
Today daily open25.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA2025.33
Daily SMA5023.66
Daily SMA10023.37
Daily SMA20021.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.68
Previous Daily Low25.33
Previous Weekly High26.14
Previous Weekly Low24.58
Previous Monthly High26.09
Previous Monthly Low23.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.46
Daily Pivot Point S125.4
Daily Pivot Point S225.19
Daily Pivot Point S325.05
Daily Pivot Point R125.75
Daily Pivot Point R225.89
Daily Pivot Point R326.1

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.