Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD drops back below $18.00 with eyes on yearly low

Silver price fades bounce off two-year low, stays pressured around intraday bottom of late.
Impending bear cross on MACD joins failure to cross 50-SMA, monthly resistance line to favor sellers.
Bulls need validation from late-August low, 200-SMA to retake control.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

Silver price (XAG/USD) remains on the back foot as bears approach the two-year low marked the last Thursday, depressed around $17.95 during Wednesday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the bright metal takes clues from the looming bear cross of the MACD, as well as the downbeat RSI (14) line.

That said, the commodity’s weakness could be linked to its failure to defend the upside break of the descending trend line from mid-August, as well as the 50-SMA. Also favoring the sellers are the multiple failures to cross the 200-SMA.

Amid these plays, the XAG/USD bears are on their way to the lowest levels since June 2022 surrounding $16.95. However, the latest multi-month low near $17.55 could offer immediate support to watch.

Meanwhile, recovery needs validation from the $18.35-30 resistance confluence including the 50-SMA and the aforementioned resistance line.

Following that, the August 22 swing low and the 200-SMA, respectively near $18.75 and $19.40, could lure the silver buyers.

Silver: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	17.96
Today Daily Change	-0.20
Today Daily Change %	-1.10%
Today daily open	18.16

Trends
Daily SMA20	19.28
Daily SMA50	19.4
Daily SMA100	20.78
Daily SMA200	22.28

Levels
Previous Daily High	18.25
Previous Daily Low	17.95
Previous Weekly High	18.92
Previous Weekly Low	17.56
Previous Monthly High	20.88
Previous Monthly Low	17.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	18.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	18.06
Daily Pivot Point S1	17.99
Daily Pivot Point S2	17.82
Daily Pivot Point S3	17.69
Daily Pivot Point R1	18.29
Daily Pivot Point R2	18.42
Daily Pivot Point R3	18.59

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD drops to multi-month troughs near 1.3140

GBP/USD adds to Tuesday’s pullback and recedes to the lowest level since November 2025 near 1.3140. A firmer Greenback and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD bounces off YTD lows around 1.1320

EUR/USD extends its decline on Wednesday, falling to fresh yearly lows near 1.1320. The pair remains on the defensive as the US Dollar continues to draw support from hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,000

Gold retreats further and breaches below the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce for the first time since November 2025 on Wednesday. Higher-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the precious metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.