|

Shanghai Composite Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Elliott Wave technical overview – Shanghai composite

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 2.

  • Current Position: Orange Wave 3.

  • Next higher degree direction: Gray Wave 3.

  • Invalidation level: 3142.6084

Analysis Summary

The Shanghai Composite Index, based on the daily Elliott Wave analysis, is undergoing a corrective phase identified as gray wave 2. This phase follows the completion of gray wave 1, which exhibited impulsive characteristics, and forms part of the broader orange wave 3 structure.

This analysis interprets the market’s current behavior as a counter-trend correction, suggesting a temporary pause before the trend resumes in the form of gray wave 3. Analysts point to the 3142.6084 level as a critical threshold—if the index falls below this, the current wave scenario would be invalidated.

Technical Details and Interpretation

  • The gray wave 1 appears complete, and the market is now navigating through gray wave 2, which may involve typical corrective patterns like three-wave formations or sideways consolidation.

  • Upon the conclusion of this phase, gray wave 3 is expected to unfold, signaling a return to the primary upward trend.

  • This chart offers traders a comprehensive view of the ongoing correction while situating it within a larger wave structure.

  • Monitoring the structure of gray wave 2 is crucial, as its resolution may provide entry opportunities for both short-term trades during the pullback and long-term investments as momentum resumes.

Conclusion

This Elliott Wave assessment helps traders stay informed on both short-term corrections and the longer-term trend potential of the Shanghai Composite. By understanding wave relationships and tracking confirmation signals, market participants can better position themselves ahead of potential market shifts.

Elliott Wave technical overview – Shanghai composite

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 3.

  • Current position: Navy Blue Wave 3.

  • Next higher degree direction: Orange Wave 3 (Started).

  • Invalidation level: 2684.9490.

Analysis Summary

The Shanghai Composite Index, based on the weekly Elliott Wave chart, shows a strong bullish trend. The analysis highlights orange wave 3 as the active phase within the larger navy blue wave 3 structure.

With orange wave 2 completed, the index is now progressing through orange wave 3, which typically reflects the most aggressive and extended upward phase in Elliott Wave theory. This wave often brings strong momentum and signals substantial upside potential.

Technical Insights

  • The key invalidation level is 2684.9490. A move below this would question the current bullish scenario.

  • This phase fits within a larger upward trend, offering insights for long-term investors who seek exposure to the Chinese equity market.

  • As part of navy blue wave 3, the ongoing orange wave 3 is expected to show characteristics such as:

    • Increased volume.

    • Strong price acceleration.

    • Prolonged bullish activity.

This positions orange wave 3 as both a mid-term opportunity and a vital leg in a longer-term trend.

Conclusion

The weekly Elliott Wave view of the Shanghai Composite supports a continuation of bullish movement, as long as the price holds above 2684.9490. For position traders, this setup offers valuable directional clarity and a potential window to benefit from sustained market strength.

However, it remains important to practice solid risk management while following the prevailing trend. Monitoring key levels and wave progressions will help reinforce trading and investment decisions based on this setup.

Technical Analyst: Malik Awais.

Elliott Wave technical overview – Shanghai composite [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.