|

Russell 2000 Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Russell 2000 Elliott Wave technical overview

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 1.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Next lower degree direction: Orange Wave 2.

  • Details: Orange wave 1 of navy blue wave 1 is active, signaling a fresh uptrend. Invalidation level: 171.

Current chart outlook

The Russell 2000 index shows strong bullish momentum on the daily chart, suggesting the start of a new upward wave structure. Orange wave one is now forming as part of navy blue wave one, indicating the first leg of a broader bullish cycle. This implies the index may be in the early stages of a longer-term rally.

Market dynamics and risk

The impulsive characteristics of this wave show heavy buying interest. As long as the price remains above 171, the current wave structure remains valid. A drop below this level would challenge the bullish outlook and might suggest either a deeper correction or a re-evaluation of the wave count.

Forecast and strategy insights

With upward momentum in place, the index may continue rising until the completion of orange wave one. Afterward, traders should expect orange wave two as a retracement. The setup supports gains in the near term, but traders must manage risks carefully during this early phase of the trend.

Chart

Russell 2000 Elliott Wave technical overview

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Position: Gray Wave 1.

  • Next Lower Degree Direction: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Details: Orange wave two appears completed. Navy blue wave one of one is now in motion. Invalidation level: 171.

Long-term market view

The weekly chart reflects a bullish breakout for the Russell 2000 index, with navy blue wave one unfolding within a broader structure marked as gray wave one. With orange wave two completed, the index seems to be initiating the first impulse wave of a longer bullish phase.

Implications for investors

The impulsive characteristics and upward strength show solid buyer engagement. A key invalidation level lies at 171—if breached, a reevaluation of the current wave setup will be necessary. Until then, the bullish outlook remains intact.

Strategic takeaways

This wave development suggests the index is at the beginning of a multi-phase upward trend. As navy blue wave one progresses, the next anticipated move is navy blue wave two—a corrective pullback. Investors should monitor continuation signals and support levels to optimize their entries and risk.

Chart

Technical Analyst: Malik Awais.

Russell 2000 Elliott Wave technical overview [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold not done with record highs

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.