|

Royal Dutch Shell Plc (RDSA Stock) share price slips after profits fall short

The Royal Dutch Shell share price has been one of the outperformers on the FTSE100 year to date, which isn’t that surprising when you consider the recent surge in natural gas and crude oil prices so far this year.

When the company reported back in July the company raised its dividend by almost 40%, as well as buying back $2bn of its own shares.

There is no question the continued improvement in oil and gas prices has helped boost Shells income numbers year to date, with adjusted net income rising to $5.53bn, in Q2, so this morning’s Q3 numbers are particularly disappointing, coming in at $4.13bn, well below expectations of $5.42bn.

Given how much fossil fuel prices have risen this quarter, today’s number are a particularly poor outcome, even if you factor in the disruptions from Hurricane Ida, which cost the business $400m.

The company also cited higher costs elsewhere as it said that Q4 would see a better performance due to lower maintenance costs, however that hasn’t stopped the share price slipping back in early trade.

This underperformance has prompted activist shareholder Dan Loeb’s Third Point Group to call for the breakup of the company, after taking a $750m stake in the business, splitting it into the legacy business, and into renewables and marketing unit. His argument appears to be that Shell is trying to serve two masters and that you can’t be all things to all people.

The problem with that argument is that the legacy business needs to fund the transition to renewables so there inevitably needs to be an element of cross over, although the argument for split has garnered some support on the margins.

Its not hard to understand shareholder frustration given the underperformance of the business, as well as management’s preoccupation with shareholder payouts as opposed to taking advantage of the recent rise in energy prices to fund investment in renewables, as well as cutting its emissions.

Quite frankly management need to get their act together and decide on a direction of travel and not be distracted by what Third Point calls “competing stakeholders pushing it in too many different directions.”

Shell needs to stop pandering to external pressure and virtue signalling by setting ambitious targets and focus more on the task at hand.

In September the Shell sold its Permian Basin business to ConocoPhillips for $9.5bn, promising to return $7bn to shareholders, and pay down its debt which fell to $57.5bn.

This comes across as a skewed set of priorities, by all means return funds to shareholders but the focus on shareholder returns, and lack of investment in the transition to renewables points to a lack of seriousness when it comes to transitioning the business.

The transition to renewables is not a light switch which you can simply switch on. It needs a clear plan with the revenue generated by its LNG and oil business helping it to transition towards the lower margin business of renewable energy.   

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Michael Hewson MSTA CFTe

Michael Hewson MSTA CFTe

Independent Analyst

Award winning technical analyst, trader and market commentator. In my many years in the business I’ve been passionate about delivering education to retail traders, as well as other financial professionals. Visit my Substack here.

More from Michael Hewson MSTA CFTe
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).