|

Reversing, but for how long?

S&P 500 continued its ascent driven by Nasdaq, fine NVDA earnings – only to reverse from 5360, well before the hot PMIs. Fears that inflation with deferred cuts if not tightening, are what has disquited the market. At the same time, NVDA wasn‘t knocked off, bonds didn‘t crater badly, and Sep rate cut odds remained more or less the same – are pronouncements similar to Dimon and Druckenmiller actually a sign of willing accumulation by the big guys while retail reacts emotionally the way it always does?

Following Memorial Day (happy holidays if you celebrate), Not underestimating the not dovish Fed odds in response to data, I‘ll release extensive analysis just published in our channel that discusses various ratios, seasonality and intermarket perspectives incl. Bitcoin (which I am releasing to swing trading clients as well of course).

S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Chart

The key part is „not yet time to turn bearish“ - what does that „not yet“ actually depend on? I would look at sectoral performance beyond tech, semis and financials, I would look at price action respecting the levels given in the opening premium part of today‘s analysis, and on 4hr time frame as well (if not hourly).

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks offered below 1.1900

EUR/USD keeps its bearish tone unchanged ahead of the opening bell in Asia, returning to the sub-1.1900 region following a firmer tone in the US Dollar. Indeed, the pair reverses two consecutive daily gains amid steady caution ahead of Wednesday’s key US Nonfarm Payrolls release.
 

GBP/USD slips back to daily lows near 1.3640

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3640 as sellers push harder and the Greenback extends its rebound in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Looking ahead, the combination of key US releases, including NFP and CPI, alongside important UK data, should keep the pound firmly in focus over the coming days.

Gold the battle of wills continues with bulls not ready to give up

Gold remains on the defensive and approaches the key $5,000 region per troy ounce on Tuesday, giving back part of its recent two day. The precious metal’s pullback unfolds against a firmer tone in the US Dollar, declining US Treasury yields and steady caution ahead of upcoming key US data releases.

Bitcoin's downtrend caused by ETF redemptions and AI rotation: Wintermute

Bitcoin's (BTC) fall from grace since the October 10 leverage flush has been spearheaded by sustained ETF outflows and a rotation into the AI narrative, according to Wintermute.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.