|

RBNZ seen raising rates by historic 75Bps

A Reuters poll sees the Reserve Bank of New Zealand hiking by 75Bps next week. 

Stubbornly high inflation expectations reinforced the case for more aggressive rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. 

The latest central bank survey showed that inflation expectations moved higher across the curve and the market is pricing higher rates, expecting a larger increment of 75 basis points next week after delivering a half-percentage point increase in October. 

Meanwhile, RBNZ officials have been outspoken of late,  explaining that high inflation and a tight labor market in the country call for demand to be cooled, though they flagged downside risks to the global economy.

NZDUSD update

  • With the price on the front side of the bearish trendline.
  • W-formation is a reversion pattern that would be expected to be a drag on the recent rally.
  • A retest of the lows could see a push below and on to the 61.8% golden ratio that aligns with prior support in a 200% measured expansion of the trapped volume up top. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades around 1.1700 after rebounding from 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish bias; the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47 confirms waning momentum.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 as US Dollar weakens ahead of ISM Services PMI

GBP/USD gains some ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index and JOLTs job openings due later in the day.

Gold pulls back from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of key US macro data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple cool off as rally stalls near key resistance zones

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices are taking a breather on Wednesday near their key resistance levels following the recent surge. BTC faces rejection at the $94,253 level, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s footsteps, struggling near $3,308 and $2.35, respectively.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.