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RBA to hold rates at 3.85% in June, but may raise again soon – Reuters poll

Australia's central bank will keep key interest rate unchanged at 3.85% on Tuesday despite inflation staying well above the target range,” per the latest Reuters poll of nearly 30 economists.

Key findings

While expectations for future rate hikes were very much alive, a strong three-quarters majority of economists, or 22 of 30, forecast the RBA to hold its official cash rate at 3.85% on June 6.

The remaining eight in the poll taken between May 29 and June 1 poll expected a 25 basis point hike.

Interest rate futures were pricing in a roughly one-in-three chance of a rate hike then.

More than half of respondents, or 18 of 28, expected rates to reach 4.10% or higher by end-September, including four who saw rates at 4.35%. The remaining 10 expected rates to stay at 3.85%.

Also read: AUD/USD bulls await Aussie wage announcements, US NFP on the way to 0.6600

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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