|

RBA Minutes: sees `considerable uncertainty' around wage pressures

The RBA minutes were released and the AUD/USD has dropped over 10 pips on the release.

RBA minutes headlines as follows: 

RBA minutes: Consumption growth likely to be lower in 3q than 2q.

RBA minutes: Sees `considerable uncertainty' around wage pressures.

RBA minutes: Growth in public/non-mining investment expected to pick up.

RBA minutes: Board judged steady policy consistent with inflation, growth goals.

RBA minutes: Considerable uncertainty" on how quickly wages might pick up, add to inflation.

RBA minutes: Pass-through to inflation could be delayed by many factors including retail competition.

RBA minutes: Competitive pressures on retail margins and costs expected to last for some while.

RBA minutes: Board discussed global trend of wages growth lagging unemployment.

RBA minutes: Any further rise in A$ would slow expected pick-up in inflation, economy.

RBA minutes: Local labour market had been surprisingly strong, above-average jobs growth likely to continue.

RBA minutes: Rising participation meant jobless rate to fall only slightly to 5.25 pct by end 2019.

RBA minutes: RBA saw more upside risks to non-mining business investment, infrastructure spending a boost.

RBA minutes: RBA expected GDP growth of around  3 pct over next few years, subdued productivity.

RBA minutes: Noted importance of data and "evidence-based policymaking" in lifting productivity.

RBA minutes: Housing market had eased in all major cities, still relatively strong in Melbourne.

RBA minutes

The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia meetings are published two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes give a full account of the policy discussion, including differences of view. They also record the votes of the individual members of the Committee. Generally speaking, if the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook for the economy, then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the AUD.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).