RBA: Higher interest rates and higher inflation are putting pressure on the budgets of many households


Following are the key headlines from the November RBA monetary policy statement, via Reuters, as presented by Governor Phillip Lowe.

Board remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to target.

Board expects to increase interest rates further over the period ahead.

Size and timing of future rate increases will continue to be determined by data, assessment of the outlook for inflation and the labor market.

Returning inflation to target requires a more sustainable balance between demand and supply.

Inflation now forecast to peak at around 8 percent later this year.

Board recognises full effect of the increase in interest rates is yet to be felt in mortgage payments.

Medium-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.

Higher interest rates and higher inflation are putting pressure on the budgets of many households.

Central forecast is for cpi inflation to be around 4¾ per cent over 2023 and a little above 3 percent over 2024.

Forecast for GDP growth has been revised down a little, with growth of around 3 percent expected this year and 1½ per cent in 2023 and 2024.

Wages growth is continuing to pick up from the low rates of recent years, although it remains lower than in many other advanced economies.

Forecast is for the unemployment rate to remain around its current level over the months ahead.

Board will continue to pay close attention to both the evolution of labor costs and the price-setting behaviour of firms.

Labor market remains very tight, with many firms having difficulty hiring workers.

About RBA rate decision

RBA Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia. If the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the AUD. Likewise, if the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish.

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